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Route on-time record

MSP to SJC: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field) to San Jose (Norman Y. Mineta San Jose International Airport). 509 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 72% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.0% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 2383 at 10:20 AM.

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MSP → SJC

Minneapolis to San Jose: 509 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

72%

Cancelled

1.0%

avg delay 19 min

Best time to leave

9 AM to noon

83% on time vs 67% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Delta

72% chance on time

Check MSP to SJC fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Delta 2383

    10:20 AM → 12:18 PM3h 58m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    85%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    100%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    0 min
    • Arrived on time 100% of the time (20 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 83% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 67%).
    • Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 20 flights

    Find Delta 2383 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Delta 2087

    6:15 PM → 8:24 PM4h 06m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    67%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    67%
    Cancelled
    0.9%
    Avg arrival delay
    21 min
    • Arrived on time 67% of the time (343 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 67% on time; 9 AM to noon: 83%).
    • Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 343 flights

    Find Delta 2087 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Delta Air Lines72%

    509 flights · 72% on time as flown · 1.0% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • 9 AM to noon83%

    162 flights · avg delay 13 min

  • 6 to 9 PM67%

    347 flights · avg delay 21 min

Best day: Thursday (81%). Worst: Wednesday (74%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
83
F
75
M
79
A
71
M
80
J
75
J
72
A
75
S
86
O
76
N
75
D
70

What delays this route

  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)53%
  • Late-arriving aircraft25%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume18%
  • Severe weather4%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from MSP to SJC…

MSP to SJC questions

What time of day is best to fly MSP to SJC?
9 AM to noon: 83% of flights arrived on time, against 67% for departures 6 to 9 PM.
Which airline is most on time from MSP to SJC?
Delta, with a season-adjusted 72% chance of operating and arriving on time over 509 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on MSP to SJC?
December (70% on time); the best was September (86%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

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Live status: FAA delays and ground stops