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Route on-time record

MSP to LAX: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field) to Los Angeles (Los Angeles International Airport). 2,176 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 82% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.8% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 2974 at 1:01 PM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

MSP → LAX

Minneapolis to Los Angeles: 2,176 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

82%

Cancelled

0.8%

avg delay 10 min

Best time to leave

Noon to 3 PM

88% on time vs 72% after 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Delta

82% chance on time

Check MSP to LAX fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $153 (SY 423 on 2026-10-19). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Delta 2974

    1:01 PM → 3:00 PM3h 59m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    92%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    98%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    3 min
    • Arrived on time 98% of the time (49 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 49 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 88% on time; After 9 PM: 72%).
    • Departs inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Limited track record · 49 flights

    Find Delta 2974 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Delta 2114

    2:58 PM → 4:57 PM3h 59m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    87%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    88%
    Cancelled
    0.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 88% of the time (203 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 88% on time; After 9 PM: 72%).
    • Departs inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
    • Lands inside LAX's trouble window: 53% of its 15 ground stops and delay programs started between 4 PM and 10 PM.

    Strong track record · 203 flights

    Find Delta 2114 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Delta 2119

    11:16 AM → 1:34 PM3h 59m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    86%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    87%
    Cancelled
    0.8%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 87% of the time (362 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 362 flights

    Find Delta 2119 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Delta 2110

    7:05 AM → 9:17 AM4h 02m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    85%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    86%
    Cancelled
    0.6%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 86% of the time (321 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 321 flights

    Find Delta 2110 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Delta 2102

    9:15 AM → 11:21 AM3h 58m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    82%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    83%
    Cancelled
    0.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    10 min
    • Arrived on time 83% of the time (363 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 363 flights

    Find Delta 2102 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Delta 2122

    6:20 PM → 8:27 PM4h 07m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    77%
    Cancelled
    1.2%
    Avg arrival delay
    12 min
    • Arrived on time 77% of the time (318 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside LAX's trouble window: 53% of its 15 ground stops and delay programs started between 4 PM and 10 PM.

    Strong track record · 318 flights

    Find Delta 2122 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · Delta 2103

    10:00 PM → 11:53 PM3h 58m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    71%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    71%
    Cancelled
    2.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    18 min
    • Arrived on time 71% of the time (251 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (After 9 PM: 72% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 88%).
    • Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 251 flights

    Find Delta 2103 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Delta Air Lines82%

    2,176 flights · 82% on time as flown · 0.8% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM85%

    392 flights · avg delay 6 min

  • 9 AM to noon85%

    681 flights · avg delay 10 min

  • Noon to 3 PM88%

    345 flights · avg delay 7 min

  • 3 to 6 PM81%

    129 flights · avg delay 10 min

  • 6 to 9 PM76%

    391 flights · avg delay 13 min

  • After 9 PM72%

    238 flights · avg delay 17 min

Best day: Tuesday (89%). Worst: Monday (82%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
87
F
84
M
84
A
88
M
84
J
80
J
79
A
86
S
92
O
88
N
87
D
80

What delays this route

  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)48%
  • Late-arriving aircraft28%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume22%
  • Severe weather2%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

MSP to LAX questions

What time of day is best to fly MSP to LAX?
Noon to 3 PM: 88% of flights arrived on time, against 72% for departures after 9 PM.
Which airline is most on time from MSP to LAX?
Delta, with a season-adjusted 82% chance of operating and arriving on time over 2,176 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on MSP to LAX?
July (79% on time); the best was September (92%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from MSP

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops