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Route on-time record

SJC to MSP: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

San Jose (Norman Y. Mineta San Jose International Airport) to Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field). 509 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 91% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.0% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 2156 at 6:20 AM.

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SJC → MSP

San Jose to Minneapolis: 509 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

91%

Cancelled

1.0%

avg delay 8 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

95% on time vs 82% noon to 3 PM

Most reliable airline

Delta

90% chance on time

Check SJC to MSP fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Delta 2156

    6:20 AM → 12:00 PM3h 40m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    94%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    95%
    Cancelled
    0.9%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 95% of the time (344 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 95% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 82%).
    • Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Strong track record · 344 flights

    Find Delta 2156 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Delta 2383

    1:13 PM → 6:56 PM3h 43m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    86%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    90%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    3 min
    • Arrived on time 90% of the time (20 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 82% on time; Before 9 AM: 95%).

    Limited track record · 20 flights

    Find Delta 2383 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Delta Air Lines90%

    509 flights · 91% on time as flown · 1.0% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM95%

    347 flights · avg delay 5 min

  • Noon to 3 PM82%

    162 flights · avg delay 13 min

Best day: Saturday (96%). Worst: Friday (87%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
90
F
97
M
88
A
97
M
87
J
87
J
86
A
92
S
95
O
93
N
87
D
87

What delays this route

  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)48%
  • Late-arriving aircraft47%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume6%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from SJC to MSP…

SJC to MSP questions

What time of day is best to fly SJC to MSP?
Before 9 AM: 95% of flights arrived on time, against 82% for departures noon to 3 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from SJC to MSP?
Delta, with a season-adjusted 90% chance of operating and arriving on time over 509 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on SJC to MSP?
July (86% on time); the best was April (97%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

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Live status: FAA delays and ground stops