Route on-time record

MSP to LAS: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field) to Las Vegas (Harry Reid International Airport). 2,263 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 82% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.0% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 2261 at 6:55 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

MSP → LAS

Minneapolis to Las Vegas: 2,263 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

82%

Cancelled

1.0%

avg delay 11 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

89% on time vs 69% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Southwest

88% chance on time

Check MSP to LAS fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

#1 · Delta 2261
6:55 AM → 8:31 AM3h 33m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
88%
chance on time
On time (history)
89%
Cancelled
1.1%
Avg arrival delay
6 min
- Arrived on time 89% of the time (360 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 69%).
- Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 360 flights
Find Delta 2261 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#2 · Delta 2262
9:25 AM → 10:56 AM3h 28m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
85%
chance on time
On time (history)
86%
Cancelled
1.1%
Avg arrival delay
8 min
- Arrived on time 86% of the time (360 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside LAS's trouble window: 51% of its 104 ground stops and delay programs started between 10 AM and 4 PM.
Strong track record · 360 flights
Find Delta 2262 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#3 · Delta 2238
11:16 AM → 12:52 PM3h 28m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
82%
chance on time
On time (history)
82%
Cancelled
0.5%
Avg arrival delay
11 min
- Arrived on time 82% of the time (361 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside LAS's trouble window: 51% of its 104 ground stops and delay programs started between 10 AM and 4 PM.
Strong track record · 361 flights
Find Delta 2238 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#4 · Delta 1542
8:05 AM → 9:36 AM3h 31m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-04.
81%
chance on time
On time (history)
83%
Cancelled
1.8%
Avg arrival delay
10 min
- Arrived on time 83% of the time (216 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 69%).
- Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 216 flights
Find Delta 1542 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#5 · Delta 2249
3:20 PM → 4:51 PM3h 31m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Delta 643; its record covers all of them.
79%
chance on time
On time (history)
79%
Cancelled
1.3%
Avg arrival delay
20 min
- Arrived on time 79% of the time (149 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
Moderate track record · 149 flights
Find Delta 2249 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#6 · Delta 1442
9:59 PM → 11:31 PM3h 29m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-29.
75%
chance on time
On time (history)
77%
Cancelled
0.4%
Avg arrival delay
13 min
- Arrived on time 77% of the time (244 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 244 flights
Find Delta 1442 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#7 · Frontier 3749
10:04 PM → 11:42 PM3h 38m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
75%
chance on time
On time (history)
71%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
10 min
- Arrived on time 71% of the time (14 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).
- 76% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (14 flights), so its score leans on the route's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 14 flights
Find Frontier 3749 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#8 · Delta 2246
6:50 PM → 8:24 PM3h 27m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
72%
chance on time
On time (history)
71%
Cancelled
1.4%
Avg arrival delay
24 min
- Arrived on time 71% of the time (290 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 69% on time; Before 9 AM: 89%).
- Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 290 flights
Find Delta 2246 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

Southwest Airlines88%
197 flights · 90% on time as flown · 0.7% cancel
Delta Air Lines81%
2,052 flights · 82% on time as flown · 1.1% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

Before 9 AM89%
667 flights · avg delay 6 min
9 AM to noon84%
630 flights · avg delay 9 min
Noon to 3 PM83%
235 flights · avg delay 10 min
3 to 6 PM76%
238 flights · avg delay 19 min
6 to 9 PM69%
235 flights · avg delay 26 min
After 9 PM79%
258 flights · avg delay 12 min

Best day: Tuesday (88%). Worst: Friday (81%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

What delays this route

Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)56%
Air traffic control and airport volume22%
Late-arriving aircraft14%
Severe weather7%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

MSP to LAS questions

What time of day is best to fly MSP to LAS?: Before 9 AM: 89% of flights arrived on time, against 69% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from MSP to LAS?: Southwest, with a season-adjusted 88% chance of operating and arriving on time over 197 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on MSP to LAS?: June (79% on time); the best was September (90%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?: No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

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