Route on-time record

MSP to MEM: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field) to Memphis (Memphis International Airport). 894 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 83% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.9% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 1553 at 6:20 PM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

MSP → MEM

Minneapolis to Memphis: 894 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

83%

Cancelled

0.9%

avg delay 11 min

Best time to leave

9 AM to noon

87% on time vs 76% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

Delta

84% chance on time

Check MSP to MEM fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

#1 · Delta 1553
6:20 PM → 8:26 PM2h 06m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-12.
86%
chance on time
On time (history)
90%
Cancelled
6.5%
Avg arrival delay
13 min
- Arrived on time 90% of the time (29 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 6.5% of the time (2 of 31).
- Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (29 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 29 flights
Find Delta 1553 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#2 · SkyWest 3989 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
9:33 AM → 11:47 AM2h 16m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
83%
chance on time
On time (history)
83%
Cancelled
2.0%
Avg arrival delay
11 min
- Arrived on time 83% of the time (144 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 87% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 76%).
- Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 144 flights
Find 9:33 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#3 · SkyWest 4035 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
8:01 PM → 10:20 PM2h 19m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
79%
chance on time
On time (history)
78%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
16 min
- Arrived on time 78% of the time (49 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 49 scheduled flights.
- Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (49 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 49 flights
Find 8:01 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#4 · SkyWest 4063 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
3:45 PM → 5:58 PM2h 13m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
76%
chance on time
On time (history)
76%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
15 min
- Arrived on time 76% of the time (41 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 41 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 76% on time; 9 AM to noon: 87%).
- Departs inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
Limited track record · 41 flights
Find 3:45 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

Delta Air Lines84%
51 flights · 90% on time as flown · 1.7% cancel
SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)81%
843 flights · 82% on time as flown · 0.7% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

Before 9 AM78%
46 flights · avg delay 10 min
9 AM to noon87%
317 flights · avg delay 8 min
3 to 6 PM76%
188 flights · avg delay 13 min
6 to 9 PM83%
343 flights · avg delay 12 min

Best day: Saturday (85%). Worst: Monday (79%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

What delays this route

Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)59%
Severe weather23%
Air traffic control and airport volume18%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

MSP to MEM questions

What time of day is best to fly MSP to MEM?: 9 AM to noon: 87% of flights arrived on time, against 76% for departures 3 to 6 PM.
Which airline is most on time from MSP to MEM?: Delta, with a season-adjusted 84% chance of operating and arriving on time over 51 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on MSP to MEM?: July (75% on time); the best was October (90%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?: No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from MSP

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops

All Products

Aviation Intelligence

Alerts & Airspace

Free Pilot Tools & Widgets

RC Aviation

Games & Learning

Weather Research & More

Pilot Resources

My Airports

Ask ATIS