Route on-time record
MEM to MSP: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Memphis (Memphis International Airport) to Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field). 894 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 87% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.0% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 1630 at 6:07 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
MEM → MSP
Memphis to Minneapolis: 894 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
87%
Cancelled
1.0%
avg delay 12 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
94% on time vs 76% 6 to 9 PM
Most reliable airline
Delta
90% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Delta 1630
6:07 AM → 8:15 AM2h 08m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-11.
93%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 96%
- Cancelled
- 10.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 3 min
- Arrived on time 96% of the time (27 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 10.0% of the time (3 of 30).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 94% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 76%).
- Short track record (27 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 27 flights
Find Delta 1630 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · SkyWest 3899 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
6:00 AM → 8:12 AM2h 12m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as SkyWest 3599; its record covers all of them.
91%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 90%
- Cancelled
- 1.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 15 min
- Arrived on time 90% of the time (79 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 94% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 76%).
Moderate track record · 79 flights
Find 6:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · SkyWest 3989 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
12:29 PM → 2:45 PM2h 16m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
83%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 83%
- Cancelled
- 2.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 16 min
- Arrived on time 83% of the time (144 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
Moderate track record · 144 flights
Find 12:29 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · SkyWest 4063 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
6:39 PM → 9:00 PM2h 21m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
74%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 68%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 25 min
- Arrived on time 68% of the time (41 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 41 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 76% on time; Before 9 AM: 94%).
- Short track record (41 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 41 flights
Find 6:39 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Delta Air Lines90%
50 flights · 98% on time as flown · 2.3% cancel
- SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)86%
844 flights · 86% on time as flown · 0.8% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM94%
344 flights · avg delay 10 min
- Noon to 3 PM87%
335 flights · avg delay 12 min
- 6 to 9 PM76%
187 flights · avg delay 15 min
Best day: Wednesday (90%). Worst: Monday (83%).
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)74%
- Severe weather19%
- Air traffic control and airport volume7%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
MEM to MSP questions
- What time of day is best to fly MEM to MSP?
- Before 9 AM: 94% of flights arrived on time, against 76% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from MEM to MSP?
- Delta, with a season-adjusted 90% chance of operating and arriving on time over 50 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on MEM to MSP?
- January (76% on time); the best was October (95%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from MEM
- MSP to MEM (return)
- MEM to ATL 87%
- MEM to ORD 77%
- MEM to DFW 72%
- MEM to CLT 83%
- MEM to DEN 79%
- MEM to DCA 75%
- MEM to IAH 79%
- MEM to DTW 83%
- MEM to LGA 78%
- MEM to HOU 78%
- MEM to MCO 78%
- MEM to PHL 81%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops