Skip to content

All Products

Aviation Intelligence

Alerts & Airspace

Free Pilot Tools & Widgets

RC Aviation

Games & Learning

Weather Research & More

Pilot Resources

My Airports

Your shortcuts, saved on this device. Search to add an airport.

No airports saved yet. Add the fields you visit most.

Ask ATIS

Route on-time record

MSP to MCO: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field) to Orlando (Orlando International Airport). 1,943 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 75% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.4% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 2280 at 6:00 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

Find me the most reliable flights fromtoonreturning(optional)

MSP → MCO

Minneapolis to Orlando: 1,943 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

75%

Cancelled

1.4%

avg delay 21 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

85% on time vs 67% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

Delta

74% chance on time

Check MSP to MCO fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $108 (SY 341 on 2026-11-17). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Delta 2280

    6:00 AM → 10:09 AM3h 09m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    80%
    Cancelled
    1.8%
    Avg arrival delay
    15 min
    • Arrived on time 80% of the time (108 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 85% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 67%).
    • Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 108 flights

    Find Delta 2280 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Delta 2225

    12:50 PM → 5:08 PM3h 18m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    72%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    73%
    Cancelled
    1.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    29 min
    • Arrived on time 73% of the time (358 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
    • Lands inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Strong track record · 358 flights

    Find Delta 2225 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Delta 2209

    10:37 AM → 2:51 PM3h 13m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    72%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    70%
    Cancelled
    0.9%
    Avg arrival delay
    22 min
    • Arrived on time 70% of the time (227 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Strong track record · 227 flights

    Find Delta 2209 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Delta 2309

    8:13 PM → 12:33 AM3h 13m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    68%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    69%
    Cancelled
    1.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    24 min
    • Arrived on time 69% of the time (345 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 345 flights

    Find Delta 2309 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Delta 2593

    3:20 PM → 7:35 PM3h 16m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    67%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    65%
    Cancelled
    0.8%
    Avg arrival delay
    30 min
    • Arrived on time 65% of the time (124 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 67% on time; Before 9 AM: 85%).
    • Departs inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Moderate track record · 124 flights

    Find Delta 2593 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Delta Air Lines74%

    1,869 flights · 75% on time as flown · 1.3% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM85%

    428 flights · avg delay 9 min

  • 9 AM to noon77%

    430 flights · avg delay 19 min

  • Noon to 3 PM73%

    369 flights · avg delay 29 min

  • 3 to 6 PM67%

    292 flights · avg delay 25 min

  • 6 to 9 PM69%

    420 flights · avg delay 26 min

Best day: Tuesday (83%). Worst: Sunday (75%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
75
F
81
M
73
A
83
M
78
J
71
J
72
A
72
S
87
O
88
N
87
D
75

What delays this route

  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)54%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume22%
  • Late-arriving aircraft19%
  • Severe weather4%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from MSP to MCO…

MSP to MCO questions

What time of day is best to fly MSP to MCO?
Before 9 AM: 85% of flights arrived on time, against 67% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from MSP to MCO?
Delta, with a season-adjusted 74% chance of operating and arriving on time over 1,869 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on MSP to MCO?
June (71% on time); the best was October (88%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from MSP

Most on-time flights from MSP on every route →

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops