Skip to content

All Products

Aviation Intelligence

Alerts & Airspace

Free Pilot Tools & Widgets

RC Aviation

Games & Learning

Weather Research & More

Pilot Resources

My Airports

Your shortcuts, saved on this device. Search to add an airport.

No airports saved yet. Add the fields you visit most.

Ask ATIS

Route on-time record

MCO to MSP: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Orlando (Orlando International Airport) to Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field). 1,945 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 77% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.3% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 1250 at 6:00 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

Find me the most reliable flights fromtoonreturning(optional)

MCO → MSP

Orlando to Minneapolis: 1,945 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

77%

Cancelled

1.3%

avg delay 23 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

93% on time vs 52% after 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Delta

76% chance on time

Check MCO to MSP fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $131 (Frontier 1615 on 2026-10-23). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Delta 1250

    6:00 AM → 8:38 AM3h 37m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    92%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    93%
    Cancelled
    0.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    10 min
    • Arrived on time 93% of the time (348 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 93% on time; After 9 PM: 52%).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 348 flights

    Find Delta 1250 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Delta 2280

    11:19 AM → 1:49 PM3h 30m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    84%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 84% of the time (25 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Limited track record · 25 flights

    Find Delta 2280 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Delta 2593

    8:59 PM → 11:36 PM3h 37m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    70%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    70%
    Cancelled
    7.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    17 min
    • Arrived on time 70% of the time (37 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 7.5% of the time (3 of 40).
    • Departs outside MCO's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 37 flights

    Find Delta 2593 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Delta 2209

    3:04 PM → 5:34 PM3h 39m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    66%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    62%
    Cancelled
    0.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    33 min
    • Arrived on time 62% of the time (181 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Moderate track record · 181 flights

    Find Delta 2209 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Delta 2225

    6:15 PM → 8:59 PM3h 41m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    59%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    57%
    Cancelled
    1.8%
    Avg arrival delay
    44 min
    • Arrived on time 57% of the time (219 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Strong track record · 219 flights

    Find Delta 2225 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Delta Air Lines76%

    1,871 flights · 77% on time as flown · 1.2% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM93%

    519 flights · avg delay 8 min

  • 9 AM to noon84%

    239 flights · avg delay 13 min

  • Noon to 3 PM80%

    355 flights · avg delay 18 min

  • 3 to 6 PM69%

    314 flights · avg delay 35 min

  • 6 to 9 PM63%

    402 flights · avg delay 35 min

  • After 9 PM52%

    116 flights · avg delay 48 min

Best day: Wednesday (83%). Worst: Sunday (76%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
83
F
82
M
78
A
84
M
75
J
67
J
61
A
73
S
89
O
91
N
88
D
81

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft43%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)39%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume12%
  • Severe weather6%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from MCO to MSP…

MCO to MSP questions

What time of day is best to fly MCO to MSP?
Before 9 AM: 93% of flights arrived on time, against 52% for departures after 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from MCO to MSP?
Delta, with a season-adjusted 76% chance of operating and arriving on time over 1,871 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on MCO to MSP?
July (61% on time); the best was October (91%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from MCO

Most on-time flights from MCO on every route →

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops