Route on-time record
MSP to PHL: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field) to Philadelphia (Philadelphia International Airport). 1,990 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 79% arrived within 15 minutes and 3.1% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 2688 at 7:05 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
MSP → PHL
Minneapolis to Philadelphia: 1,990 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
79%
Cancelled
3.1%
avg delay 20 min
Best time to leave
9 AM to noon
88% on time vs 71% noon to 3 PM
Most reliable airline
Delta
79% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $448 (American 1452 on 2026-10-25). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Delta 2688
7:05 AM → 10:30 AM2h 33m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
87%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 90%
- Cancelled
- 2.8%
- Avg arrival delay
- 6 min
- Arrived on time 90% of the time (281 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 281 flights
Find Delta 2688 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Delta 2679
11:13 AM → 2:49 PM2h 36m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
85%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 90%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 6 min
- Arrived on time 90% of the time (49 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 49 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 88% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 71%).
- Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).
Limited track record · 49 flights
Find Delta 2679 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · SkyWest 3696 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
7:05 AM → 10:55 AM2h 50m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-11.
81%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 80%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 13 min
- Arrived on time 80% of the time (15 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (15 flights), so its score leans on the route's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 15 flights
Find 7:05 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · PSA 5488 · sold as American Eagle
6:00 AM → 9:42 AM2h 42m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
80%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 87%
- Cancelled
- 1.9%
- Avg arrival delay
- 17 min
- Arrived on time 87% of the time (53 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (53 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 53 flights
Find 6:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · PSA 5512 · sold as American Eagle
5:47 AM → 9:26 AM2h 39m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
76%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 84%
- Cancelled
- 10.6%
- Avg arrival delay
- 24 min
- Arrived on time 84% of the time (135 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 10.6% of the time (16 of 151).
- Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 135 flights
Find 5:47 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · Delta 2703
8:32 PM → 11:59 PM2h 27m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
74%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 75%
- Cancelled
- 1.7%
- Avg arrival delay
- 22 min
- Arrived on time 75% of the time (348 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 348 flights
Find Delta 2703 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · Delta 2594
2:34 PM → 6:03 PM2h 33m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
73%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 75%
- Cancelled
- 3.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 20 min
- Arrived on time 75% of the time (326 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 71% on time; 9 AM to noon: 88%).
- Departs inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
- Lands inside PHL's trouble window: 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
Strong track record · 326 flights
Find Delta 2594 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#8 · PSA 5455 · sold as American Eagle
5:26 PM → 9:07 PM2h 41m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-18.
73%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 81%
- Cancelled
- 4.5%
- Avg arrival delay
- 10 min
- Arrived on time 81% of the time (42 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 4.5% of the time (2 of 44).
- Departs inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
- 71% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Limited track record · 42 flights
Find 5:26 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#9 · American 2157
4:15 PM → 8:00 PM2h 45m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
69%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 78%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 42 min
- Arrived on time 78% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
- 99% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 9 flights
Find American 2157 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#10 · PSA 5360 · sold as American Eagle
1:09 PM → 4:50 PM2h 41m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
69%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 77%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 22 min
- Arrived on time 77% of the time (43 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 71% on time; 9 AM to noon: 88%).
- Departs inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
Limited track record · 43 flights
Find 1:09 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Delta Air Lines79%
1,211 flights · 81% on time as flown · 2.2% cancel
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)77%
57 flights · 79% on time as flown · 2.3% cancel
- American Airlines74%
237 flights · 73% on time as flown · 2.2% cancel
- PSA Airlines (sold as American Eagle)72%
465 flights · 77% on time as flown · 6.1% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM88%
652 flights · avg delay 16 min
- 9 AM to noon88%
228 flights · avg delay 10 min
- Noon to 3 PM71%
670 flights · avg delay 27 min
- 3 to 6 PM75%
86 flights · avg delay 18 min
- 6 to 9 PM74%
354 flights · avg delay 22 min
Best day: Wednesday (84%). Worst: Friday (76%).
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)51%
- Late-arriving aircraft30%
- Air traffic control and airport volume17%
- Severe weather2%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
MSP to PHL questions
- What time of day is best to fly MSP to PHL?
- 9 AM to noon: 88% of flights arrived on time, against 71% for departures noon to 3 PM.
- Which airline is most on time from MSP to PHL?
- Delta, with a season-adjusted 79% chance of operating and arriving on time over 1,211 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on MSP to PHL?
- July (73% on time); the best was October (87%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from MSP
- PHL to MSP (return)
- MSP to ORD 70%
- MSP to DEN 78%
- MSP to ATL 83%
- MSP to DFW 76%
- MSP to PHX 80%
- MSP to SEA 81%
- MSP to MDW 79%
- MSP to DCA 74%
- MSP to CLT 80%
- MSP to LAS 82%
- MSP to EWR 77%
- MSP to LAX 82%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops