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Route on-time record

LAX to MSP: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Los Angeles (Los Angeles International Airport) to Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field). 2,177 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 85% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.8% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 792 at 6:00 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

LAX → MSP

Los Angeles to Minneapolis: 2,177 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

85%

Cancelled

0.8%

avg delay 9 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

91% on time vs 73% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Delta

85% chance on time

Check LAX to MSP fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $127 (SY 422 on 2026-11-13). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Delta 792

    6:00 AM → 11:35 AM3h 36m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    91%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    92%
    Cancelled
    0.8%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 92% of the time (362 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 73%).
    • Departs outside LAX's trouble window (4 PM to 10 PM, when 53% of its 15 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 362 flights

    Find Delta 792 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Delta 799

    8:30 AM → 2:03 PM3h 36m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    89%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    90%
    Cancelled
    0.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 90% of the time (339 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 73%).
    • Departs outside LAX's trouble window (4 PM to 10 PM, when 53% of its 15 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Strong track record · 339 flights

    Find Delta 799 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Delta 430

    11:59 PM → 5:37 AM3h 36m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    85%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    85%
    Cancelled
    0.6%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 85% of the time (325 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside LAX's trouble window (4 PM to 10 PM, when 53% of its 15 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 325 flights

    Find Delta 430 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Delta 2198

    3:00 PM → 8:33 PM3h 33m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    85%
    Cancelled
    0.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    10 min
    • Arrived on time 85% of the time (324 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside LAX's trouble window (4 PM to 10 PM, when 53% of its 15 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 324 flights

    Find Delta 2198 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Delta 413

    11:59 AM → 5:26 PM3h 29m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    84%
    Cancelled
    1.4%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 84% of the time (281 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside LAX's trouble window (4 PM to 10 PM, when 53% of its 15 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Strong track record · 281 flights

    Find Delta 413 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Delta 914

    1:25 PM → 6:54 PM3h 32m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    80%
    Cancelled
    1.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    12 min
    • Arrived on time 80% of the time (354 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside LAX's trouble window (4 PM to 10 PM, when 53% of its 15 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 354 flights

    Find Delta 914 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Delta Air Lines85%

    2,177 flights · 85% on time as flown · 0.8% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM91%

    716 flights · avg delay 7 min

  • 9 AM to noon84%

    283 flights · avg delay 9 min

  • Noon to 3 PM80%

    383 flights · avg delay 12 min

  • 3 to 6 PM85%

    315 flights · avg delay 10 min

  • 6 to 9 PM73%

    84 flights · avg delay 15 min

  • After 9 PM84%

    396 flights · avg delay 9 min

Best day: Wednesday (90%). Worst: Sunday (83%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
90
F
88
M
84
A
89
M
82
J
78
J
78
A
87
S
92
O
92
N
93
D
89

What delays this route

  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)54%
  • Late-arriving aircraft32%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume13%
  • Severe weather1%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

LAX to MSP questions

What time of day is best to fly LAX to MSP?
Before 9 AM: 91% of flights arrived on time, against 73% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from LAX to MSP?
Delta, with a season-adjusted 85% chance of operating and arriving on time over 2,177 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on LAX to MSP?
July (78% on time); the best was November (93%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from LAX

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops