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Route on-time record

MSP to CVG: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field) to Cincinnati / Covington (Cincinnati Northern Kentucky International Airport). 832 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 78% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.6% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 3113 at 12:56 PM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

MSP → CVG

Minneapolis to Cincinnati / Covington: 832 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

78%

Cancelled

0.6%

avg delay 14 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

85% on time vs 73% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

Delta

78% chance on time

Check MSP to CVG fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Delta 3113

    12:56 PM → 3:43 PM1h 47m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    82%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    11 min
    • Arrived on time 82% of the time (146 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 146 scheduled flights.
    • Departs inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Moderate track record · 146 flights

    Find Delta 3113 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Delta 1469

    9:03 PM → 11:52 PM1h 45m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    77%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    78%
    Cancelled
    0.9%
    Avg arrival delay
    12 min
    • Arrived on time 78% of the time (345 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 345 flights

    Find Delta 1469 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Delta 931

    4:09 PM → 6:57 PM1h 48m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    76%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    75%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    25 min
    • Arrived on time 75% of the time (20 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 73% on time; Before 9 AM: 85%).
    • Departs inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
    • Short track record (20 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 20 flights

    Find Delta 931 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Delta Air Lines78%

    821 flights · 79% on time as flown · 0.6% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM85%

    130 flights · avg delay 8 min

  • Noon to 3 PM80%

    190 flights · avg delay 15 min

  • 3 to 6 PM73%

    162 flights · avg delay 20 min

  • 6 to 9 PM78%

    312 flights · avg delay 12 min

  • After 9 PM74%

    36 flights · avg delay 11 min

Best day: Wednesday (85%). Worst: Tuesday (77%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
77
F
84
M
78
A
86
M
82
J
74
J
73
A
77
S
85
O
90
N
83
D
78

What delays this route

  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)49%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume23%
  • Late-arriving aircraft23%
  • Severe weather5%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from MSP to CVG…

MSP to CVG questions

What time of day is best to fly MSP to CVG?
Before 9 AM: 85% of flights arrived on time, against 73% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from MSP to CVG?
Delta, with a season-adjusted 78% chance of operating and arriving on time over 821 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on MSP to CVG?
July (73% on time); the best was October (90%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from MSP

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops