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Route on-time record

CVG to MSP: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Cincinnati / Covington (Cincinnati Northern Kentucky International Airport) to Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field). 833 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 85% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.7% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 2752 at 6:00 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

CVG → MSP

Cincinnati / Covington to Minneapolis: 833 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

85%

Cancelled

0.7%

avg delay 16 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

96% on time vs 74% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Delta

85% chance on time

Check CVG to MSP fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Delta 2752

    6:00 AM → 7:00 AM2h 00m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    94%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    96%
    Cancelled
    1.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    4 min
    • Arrived on time 96% of the time (345 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 96% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 74%).

    Strong track record · 345 flights

    Find Delta 2752 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  2. #2 · Delta 3113

    4:38 PM → 5:40 PM2h 02m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    78%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    77%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    22 min
    • Arrived on time 77% of the time (146 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 146 scheduled flights.
    • Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Moderate track record · 146 flights

    Find Delta 3113 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  3. #3 · Delta 931

    7:52 PM → 8:55 PM2h 03m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    77%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    80%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    23 min
    • Arrived on time 80% of the time (20 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 74% on time; Before 9 AM: 96%).
    • 92% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (20 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 20 flights

    Find Delta 931 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Delta Air Lines85%

    822 flights · 85% on time as flown · 0.7% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM96%

    349 flights · avg delay 4 min

  • 9 AM to noon86%

    134 flights · avg delay 6 min

  • 3 to 6 PM75%

    187 flights · avg delay 30 min

  • 6 to 9 PM74%

    161 flights · avg delay 35 min

Best day: Saturday (90%). Worst: Thursday (84%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
85
F
89
M
94
A
95
M
88
J
81
J
76
A
79
S
91
O
93
N
91
D
84

What delays this route

  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)46%
  • Late-arriving aircraft37%
  • Severe weather9%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume8%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

CVG to MSP questions

What time of day is best to fly CVG to MSP?
Before 9 AM: 96% of flights arrived on time, against 74% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from CVG to MSP?
Delta, with a season-adjusted 85% chance of operating and arriving on time over 822 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on CVG to MSP?
July (76% on time); the best was April (95%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from CVG

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops