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Route on-time record

MSP to BIS: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field) to Bismarck (Bismarck Municipal Airport). 1,026 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 80% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.7% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was SkyWest 4066 at 8:53 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

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MSP → BIS

Minneapolis to Bismarck: 1,026 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

80%

Cancelled

0.7%

avg delay 16 min

Best time to leave

Noon to 3 PM

92% on time vs 72% after 9 PM

Most reliable airline

SkyWest

81% chance on time

Check MSP to BIS fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · SkyWest 4066 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    8:53 AM → 10:34 AM1h 41m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    86%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    88%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 88% of the time (56 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 57 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 56 flights

    Find 8:53 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Delta 2307

    6:10 PM → 7:34 PM1h 24m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    77%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    84%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    22 min
    • Arrived on time 84% of the time (25 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 25 flights

    Find Delta 2307 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)81%

    620 flights · 83% on time as flown · 0.8% cancel

  • Delta Air Lines77%

    406 flights · 76% on time as flown · 0.5% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM90%

    68 flights · avg delay 9 min

  • 9 AM to noon84%

    254 flights · avg delay 11 min

  • Noon to 3 PM92%

    39 flights · avg delay 10 min

  • 3 to 6 PM84%

    147 flights · avg delay 11 min

  • 6 to 9 PM78%

    269 flights · avg delay 18 min

  • After 9 PM72%

    249 flights · avg delay 24 min

Best day: Tuesday (86%). Worst: Friday (81%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
78
F
86
M
83
A
86
M
84
J
76
J
76
A
81
S
89
O
93
N
90
D
75

What delays this route

  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)64%
  • Severe weather14%
  • Late-arriving aircraft12%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume10%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from MSP to BIS…

MSP to BIS questions

What time of day is best to fly MSP to BIS?
Noon to 3 PM: 92% of flights arrived on time, against 72% for departures after 9 PM.
Which airline is most on time from MSP to BIS?
SkyWest, with a season-adjusted 81% chance of operating and arriving on time over 620 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on MSP to BIS?
December (75% on time); the best was October (93%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

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Live status: FAA delays and ground stops