Route on-time record
BIS to MSP: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Bismarck (Bismarck Municipal Airport) to Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field). 1,027 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 83% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.5% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was SkyWest 4066 at 11:17 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
BIS → MSP
Bismarck to Minneapolis: 1,027 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
83%
Cancelled
0.5%
avg delay 16 min
Best time to leave
9 AM to noon
85% on time vs 75% noon to 3 PM
Most reliable airline
SkyWest
82% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · SkyWest 4066 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
11:17 AM → 12:52 PM1h 35m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
84%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 84%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 17 min
- Arrived on time 84% of the time (57 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 57 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 85% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 75%).
- Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
Limited track record · 57 flights
Find 11:17 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Delta 2446
8:05 AM → 9:30 AM1h 25m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
84%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 89%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 6 min
- Arrived on time 89% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
Limited track record · 44 flights
Find Delta 2446 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)82%
620 flights · 83% on time as flown · 0.6% cancel
- Delta Air Lines82%
407 flights · 82% on time as flown · 0.3% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM84%
516 flights · avg delay 15 min
- 9 AM to noon85%
152 flights · avg delay 14 min
- Noon to 3 PM75%
175 flights · avg delay 21 min
- 3 to 6 PM84%
184 flights · avg delay 13 min
Best day: Monday (86%). Worst: Friday (80%).
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)72%
- Severe weather14%
- Air traffic control and airport volume11%
- Late-arriving aircraft2%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
BIS to MSP questions
- What time of day is best to fly BIS to MSP?
- 9 AM to noon: 85% of flights arrived on time, against 75% for departures noon to 3 PM.
- Which airline is most on time from BIS to MSP?
- SkyWest, with a season-adjusted 82% chance of operating and arriving on time over 620 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on BIS to MSP?
- December (73% on time); the best was October (94%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from BIS
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops