Route on-time record
MSP to ANC: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field) to Anchorage (Ted Stevens Anchorage International Airport). 779 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 75% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.4% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 411 at 9:55 PM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
MSP → ANC
Minneapolis to Anchorage: 779 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
75%
Cancelled
0.4%
avg delay 19 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
88% on time vs 72% after 9 PM
Most reliable airline
Alaska
80% chance on time
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Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Delta 411
9:55 PM → 12:31 AM5h 36m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
71%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 73%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 26 min
- Arrived on time 73% of the time (223 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 223 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (After 9 PM: 72% on time; Before 9 AM: 88%).
- Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 223 flights
Find Delta 411 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Delta 377
3:54 PM → 6:51 PM5h 52m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
69%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 64%
- Cancelled
- 0.5%
- Avg arrival delay
- 26 min
- Arrived on time 64% of the time (186 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
Moderate track record · 186 flights
Find Delta 377 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Alaska Airlines80%
74 flights · 86% on time as flown · 0.3% cancel
- Delta Air Lines74%
705 flights · 74% on time as flown · 0.4% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM88%
134 flights · avg delay 7 min
- 3 to 6 PM72%
242 flights · avg delay 20 min
- 6 to 9 PM72%
127 flights · avg delay 20 min
- After 9 PM72%
248 flights · avg delay 27 min
Best day: Saturday (84%). Worst: Sunday (77%).
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)56%
- Air traffic control and airport volume24%
- Late-arriving aircraft18%
- Severe weather2%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
MSP to ANC questions
- What time of day is best to fly MSP to ANC?
- Before 9 AM: 88% of flights arrived on time, against 72% for departures after 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from MSP to ANC?
- Alaska, with a season-adjusted 80% chance of operating and arriving on time over 74 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on MSP to ANC?
- December (63% on time); the best was November (89%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from MSP
- ANC to MSP (return)
- MSP to ORD 70%
- MSP to DEN 78%
- MSP to ATL 83%
- MSP to DFW 76%
- MSP to PHX 80%
- MSP to SEA 81%
- MSP to MDW 79%
- MSP to DCA 74%
- MSP to CLT 80%
- MSP to LAS 82%
- MSP to EWR 77%
- MSP to LAX 82%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops