Route on-time record
ANC to MSP: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Anchorage (Ted Stevens Anchorage International Airport) to Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field). 778 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 84% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.5% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 447 at 6:00 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
ANC → MSP
Anchorage to Minneapolis: 778 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
84%
Cancelled
0.5%
avg delay 18 min
Best time to leave
No clear winner
Most reliable airline
Alaska
87% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Delta 447
6:00 AM → 2:32 PM5h 32m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
86%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 87%
- Cancelled
- 0.8%
- Avg arrival delay
- 18 min
- Arrived on time 87% of the time (250 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
Strong track record · 250 flights
Find Delta 447 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Delta 377
9:15 PM → 5:38 AM5h 23m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
82%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 82%
- Cancelled
- 0.6%
- Avg arrival delay
- 23 min
- Arrived on time 82% of the time (359 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
Strong track record · 359 flights
Find Delta 377 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Alaska Airlines87%
73 flights · 89% on time as flown · 0.3% cancel
- Delta Air Lines84%
705 flights · 84% on time as flown · 0.6% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM87%
252 flights · avg delay 18 min
- Noon to 3 PM84%
92 flights · avg delay 6 min
- After 9 PM83%
431 flights · avg delay 20 min
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)53%
- Late-arriving aircraft36%
- Air traffic control and airport volume9%
- Severe weather2%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
ANC to MSP questions
- Which airline is most on time from ANC to MSP?
- Alaska, with a season-adjusted 87% chance of operating and arriving on time over 73 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on ANC to MSP?
- July (80% on time); the best was September (91%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from ANC
- MSP to ANC (return)
- ANC to SEA 85%
- ANC to FAI 89%
- ANC to JNU 87%
- ANC to PDX 91%
- ANC to ADQ 85%
- ANC to ORD 78%
- ANC to BET 82%
- ANC to DEN 85%
- ANC to SCC 88%
- ANC to HNL 78%
- ANC to DFW 71%
- ANC to PHX 89%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops