Route on-time record
MSP to SBN: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field) to South Bend (South Bend International Airport). 365 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 76% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.4% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was SkyWest 3886 at 7:55 PM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
MSP → SBN
Minneapolis to South Bend: 365 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
76%
Cancelled
1.4%
avg delay 28 min
Best time to leave
No clear winner
Most reliable airline
SkyWest
75% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · SkyWest 3886 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
7:55 PM → 10:29 PM1h 33m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
75%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 76%
- Cancelled
- 1.4%
- Avg arrival delay
- 28 min
- Arrived on time 76% of the time (360 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 360 flights
Find 7:55 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)75%
365 flights · 76% on time as flown · 1.4% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- 6 to 9 PM76%
359 flights · avg delay 28 min
Best day: Saturday (82%). Worst: Monday (73%).
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)73%
- Severe weather20%
- Air traffic control and airport volume7%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
MSP to SBN questions
- Which airline is most on time from MSP to SBN?
- SkyWest, with a season-adjusted 75% chance of operating and arriving on time over 365 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on MSP to SBN?
- January (67% on time); the best was September (87%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from MSP
- SBN to MSP (return)
- MSP to ORD 70%
- MSP to DEN 78%
- MSP to ATL 83%
- MSP to DFW 76%
- MSP to PHX 80%
- MSP to SEA 81%
- MSP to MDW 79%
- MSP to DCA 74%
- MSP to CLT 80%
- MSP to LAS 82%
- MSP to EWR 77%
- MSP to LAX 82%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops