Route on-time record
MSP to DTW: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field) to Detroit (Detroit Metropolitan Wayne County Airport). 1,946 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 82% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.5% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 1461 at 6:00 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
MSP → DTW
Minneapolis to Detroit: 1,946 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
82%
Cancelled
0.5%
avg delay 13 min
Best time to leave
9 AM to noon
93% on time vs 59% 6 to 9 PM
Most reliable airline
Delta
82% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Delta 1461
6:00 AM → 8:44 AM1h 44m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
92%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 93%
- Cancelled
- 0.8%
- Avg arrival delay
- 3 min
- Arrived on time 93% of the time (362 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 362 flights
Find Delta 1461 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Delta 1433
9:00 AM → 11:45 AM1h 44m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
89%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 90%
- Cancelled
- 0.6%
- Avg arrival delay
- 6 min
- Arrived on time 90% of the time (361 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 93% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 59%).
- Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 361 flights
Find Delta 1433 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Delta 1519
12:45 PM → 3:20 PM1h 41m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
89%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 90%
- Cancelled
- 0.5%
- Avg arrival delay
- 7 min
- Arrived on time 90% of the time (362 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
- Lands inside DTW's trouble window: 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Strong track record · 362 flights
Find Delta 1519 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Delta 1476
4:55 PM → 7:35 PM1h 40m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
80%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 81%
- Cancelled
- 0.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 11 min
- Arrived on time 81% of the time (359 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
Strong track record · 359 flights
Find Delta 1476 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · Delta 1484
7:48 PM → 10:30 PM1h 42m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
60%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 60%
- Cancelled
- 0.5%
- Avg arrival delay
- 32 min
- Arrived on time 60% of the time (361 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 59% on time; 9 AM to noon: 93%).
- Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 361 flights
Find Delta 1484 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Delta Air Lines82%
1,883 flights · 82% on time as flown · 0.5% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM91%
673 flights · avg delay 5 min
- 9 AM to noon93%
97 flights · avg delay 2 min
- Noon to 3 PM89%
391 flights · avg delay 8 min
- 3 to 6 PM79%
415 flights · avg delay 12 min
- 6 to 9 PM59%
367 flights · avg delay 32 min
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)60%
- Late-arriving aircraft18%
- Air traffic control and airport volume17%
- Severe weather5%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
MSP to DTW questions
- What time of day is best to fly MSP to DTW?
- 9 AM to noon: 93% of flights arrived on time, against 59% for departures 6 to 9 PM.
- Which airline is most on time from MSP to DTW?
- Delta, with a season-adjusted 82% chance of operating and arriving on time over 1,883 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on MSP to DTW?
- July (78% on time); the best was November (92%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from MSP
- DTW to MSP (return)
- MSP to ORD 70%
- MSP to DEN 78%
- MSP to ATL 83%
- MSP to DFW 76%
- MSP to PHX 80%
- MSP to SEA 81%
- MSP to MDW 79%
- MSP to DCA 74%
- MSP to CLT 80%
- MSP to LAS 82%
- MSP to EWR 77%
- MSP to LAX 82%
Most on-time flights from MSP on every route →
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops