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Route on-time record

MSP to BDL: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field) to Hartford (Bradley International Airport). 834 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 81% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.0% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 2285 at 2:25 PM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

MSP → BDL

Minneapolis to Hartford: 834 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

81%

Cancelled

2.0%

avg delay 13 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

91% on time vs 77% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Delta

80% chance on time

Check MSP to BDL fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Delta 2285

    2:25 PM → 6:07 PM2h 42m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    82%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    90%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    4 min
    • Arrived on time 90% of the time (20 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
    • Short track record (20 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 20 flights

    Find Delta 2285 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Delta 2007

    10:20 AM → 1:57 PM2h 37m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    80%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    83%
    Cancelled
    3.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    11 min
    • Arrived on time 83% of the time (263 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 263 flights

    Find Delta 2007 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Delta 2871

    8:22 PM → 11:59 PM2h 37m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    77%
    Cancelled
    2.2%
    Avg arrival delay
    17 min
    • Arrived on time 77% of the time (355 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 77% on time; Before 9 AM: 91%).
    • Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 355 flights

    Find Delta 2871 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Delta Air Lines80%

    834 flights · 81% on time as flown · 2.0% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM91%

    127 flights · avg delay 6 min

  • 9 AM to noon85%

    183 flights · avg delay 10 min

  • Noon to 3 PM80%

    160 flights · avg delay 14 min

  • 6 to 9 PM77%

    353 flights · avg delay 17 min

Best day: Saturday (83%). Worst: Monday (78%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
75
F
86
M
82
A
83
M
83
J
80
J
77
A
85
S
85
O
87
N
88
D
75

What delays this route

  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)61%
  • Late-arriving aircraft17%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume13%
  • Severe weather8%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from MSP to BDL…

MSP to BDL questions

What time of day is best to fly MSP to BDL?
Before 9 AM: 91% of flights arrived on time, against 77% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from MSP to BDL?
Delta, with a season-adjusted 80% chance of operating and arriving on time over 834 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on MSP to BDL?
December (75% on time); the best was November (88%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from MSP

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops