Route on-time record
MSP to ATY: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field) to Watertown (Watertown Regional Airport). 304 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 87% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.0% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was SkyWest 4299 at 6:15 PM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
MSP → ATY
Minneapolis to Watertown: 304 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
87%
Cancelled
2.0%
avg delay 25 min
Best time to leave
No clear winner
Most reliable airline
SkyWest
85% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · SkyWest 4299 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
6:15 PM → 7:28 PM1h 13m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
86%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 87%
- Cancelled
- 2.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 25 min
- Arrived on time 87% of the time (297 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside MSP's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 297 flights
Find 6:15 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)85%
304 flights · 87% on time as flown · 2.0% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- 6 to 9 PM87%
275 flights · avg delay 22 min
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2025 to May 2026. One year of data, so a single stormy month can stand out.
What delays this route
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)70%
- Severe weather24%
- Air traffic control and airport volume6%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
MSP to ATY questions
- Which airline is most on time from MSP to ATY?
- SkyWest, with a season-adjusted 85% chance of operating and arriving on time over 304 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on MSP to ATY?
- December (63% on time); the best was September (100%), from one year of data, so one bad storm season can move a month.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from MSP
- ATY to MSP (return)
- MSP to ORD 70%
- MSP to DEN 78%
- MSP to ATL 83%
- MSP to DFW 76%
- MSP to PHX 80%
- MSP to SEA 81%
- MSP to MDW 79%
- MSP to DCA 74%
- MSP to CLT 80%
- MSP to LAS 82%
- MSP to EWR 77%
- MSP to LAX 82%
Most on-time flights from MSP on every route →
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops