Skip to content

All Products

Aviation Intelligence

Alerts & Airspace

Free Pilot Tools & Widgets

RC Aviation

Games & Learning

Weather Research & More

Pilot Resources

My Airports

Your shortcuts, saved on this device. Search to add an airport.

No airports saved yet. Add the fields you visit most.

Ask ATIS

Route on-time record

MSN to LGA: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Madison (Dane County Regional Truax Field) to New York (LaGuardia Airport). 859 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 85% arrived within 15 minutes and 5.0% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Republic 4563 at 8:05 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

MSN → LGA

Madison to New York: 859 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

85%

Cancelled

5.0%

avg delay 11 min

Best time to leave

9 AM to noon

88% on time vs 78% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

Republic

80% chance on time

Check MSN to LGA fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Republic 4563 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    8:05 AM → 11:29 AM2h 24m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-19. Same departure also flew as Republic 4594; its record covers all of them.

    83%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    87%
    Cancelled
    5.4%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 87% of the time (69 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 5.4% of the time (4 of 74).

    Moderate track record · 69 flights

    Find 8:05 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Republic 5711 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    7:09 AM → 10:29 AM2h 20m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    82%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    88%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 88% of the time (25 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Short track record (25 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 25 flights

    Find 7:09 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Republic 5712 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    7:41 AM → 10:59 AM2h 18m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-06. Same departure also flew as Republic 5719; its record covers all of them.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    84%
    Cancelled
    6.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 84% of the time (56 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 6.7% of the time (4 of 60).
    • Short track record (56 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 56 flights

    Find 7:41 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Republic 5623 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    2:57 PM → 6:15 PM2h 18m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-06.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    81%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 81% of the time (21 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Short track record (21 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 21 flights

    Find 2:57 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Republic 4591 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    7:18 AM → 10:40 AM2h 22m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    76%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    64%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    14 min
    • Arrived on time 64% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find 7:18 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Republic 5625 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    3:08 PM → 6:14 PM2h 06m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-12.

    67%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    56%
    Cancelled
    19.4%
    Avg arrival delay
    28 min
    • Arrived on time 56% of the time (25 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 19.4% of the time (6 of 31).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 78% on time; 9 AM to noon: 88%).
    • Short track record (25 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 25 flights

    Find 3:08 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)80%

    858 flights · 85% on time as flown · 5.0% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM87%

    584 flights · avg delay 10 min

  • 9 AM to noon88%

    35 flights · avg delay 12 min

  • Noon to 3 PM81%

    37 flights · avg delay 8 min

  • 3 to 6 PM78%

    203 flights · avg delay 18 min

Best day: Saturday (90%). Worst: Friday (85%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

  • MSN → EWR 85% chance on time

    Dane County Regional Truax Field to Newark Liberty International Airport · 375 flights a year · 17 mi from your airports · yours: 80%

    Rank flightsFares

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
82
F
88
M
83
A
89
M
87
J
82
J
90
A
91
S
89
O
95
N
89
D
82

What delays this route

  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)50%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume33%
  • Late-arriving aircraft9%
  • Severe weather7%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

MSN to LGA questions

What time of day is best to fly MSN to LGA?
9 AM to noon: 88% of flights arrived on time, against 78% for departures 3 to 6 PM.
Which airline is most on time from MSN to LGA?
Republic, with a season-adjusted 80% chance of operating and arriving on time over 858 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on MSN to LGA?
June (82% on time); the best was October (95%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from MSN

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops