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Route on-time record

MSN to PHL: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Madison (Dane County Regional Truax Field) to Philadelphia (Philadelphia International Airport). 324 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 83% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.5% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was PSA 5079 at 6:20 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

MSN → PHL

Madison to Philadelphia: 324 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

83%

Cancelled

1.5%

avg delay 17 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

94% on time vs 76% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

PSA

82% chance on time

Check MSN to PHL fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · PSA 5079 · sold as American Eagle

    6:20 AM → 9:37 AM2h 17m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-19.

    93%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    100%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    0 min
    • Arrived on time 100% of the time (36 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 36 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 94% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 76%).
    • Short track record (36 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 36 flights

    Find 6:20 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · PSA 5608 · sold as American Eagle

    1:05 PM → 4:20 PM2h 15m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    91%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    98%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    2 min
    • Arrived on time 98% of the time (43 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
    • Lands inside PHL's trouble window: 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • Short track record (43 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 43 flights

    Find 1:05 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · PSA 5509 · sold as American Eagle

    6:02 AM → 9:21 AM2h 19m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    85%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    82%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    48 min
    • Arrived on time 82% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 94% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 76%).
    • Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find 6:02 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · PSA 5471 · sold as American Eagle

    1:25 PM → 4:42 PM2h 17m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    82%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    11 min
    • Arrived on time 82% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Lands inside PHL's trouble window: 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find 1:25 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · PSA 5532 · sold as American Eagle

    5:52 PM → 9:10 PM2h 18m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    89%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    10 min
    • Arrived on time 89% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 76% on time; Before 9 AM: 94%).
    • 85% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 9 flights

    Find 5:52 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • PSA Airlines (sold as American Eagle)82%

    321 flights · 84% on time as flown · 1.3% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM94%

    85 flights · avg delay 10 min

  • Noon to 3 PM80%

    204 flights · avg delay 19 min

  • 3 to 6 PM76%

    35 flights · avg delay 23 min

Best day: Tuesday (87%). Worst: Monday (76%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
-
F
-
M
-
A
96
M
93
J
74
J
67
A
69
S
81
O
89
N
-
D
-

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft38%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)24%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume19%
  • Severe weather18%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

MSN to PHL questions

What time of day is best to fly MSN to PHL?
Before 9 AM: 94% of flights arrived on time, against 76% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from MSN to PHL?
PSA, with a season-adjusted 82% chance of operating and arriving on time over 321 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on MSN to PHL?
July (67% on time); the best was April (96%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from MSN

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops