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Route on-time record

MSN to DTW: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Madison (Dane County Regional Truax Field) to Detroit (Detroit Metropolitan Wayne County Airport). 936 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 82% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.7% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 1106 at 7:00 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

MSN → DTW

Madison to Detroit: 936 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

82%

Cancelled

0.7%

avg delay 21 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

91% on time vs 75% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

Delta

83% chance on time

Check MSN to DTW fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Delta 1106

    7:00 AM → 9:16 AM1h 16m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-12.

    90%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    94%
    Cancelled
    2.8%
    Avg arrival delay
    4 min
    • Arrived on time 94% of the time (35 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 75%).
    • Short track record (35 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 35 flights

    Find Delta 1106 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Delta 844

    1:29 PM → 3:48 PM1h 19m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    85%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    94%
    Cancelled
    5.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 94% of the time (18 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Lands inside DTW's trouble window: 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (18 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 18 flights

    Find Delta 844 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Delta 1418

    6:15 PM → 8:35 PM1h 20m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    90%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 90% of the time (21 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Short track record (21 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 21 flights

    Find Delta 1418 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · SkyWest 4172 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    9:41 AM → 12:01 PM1h 20m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-06.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    86%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 86% of the time (21 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Short track record (21 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 21 flights

    Find 9:41 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Delta 1110

    6:22 PM → 8:42 PM1h 20m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-06.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    82%
    Cancelled
    8.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    25 min
    • Arrived on time 82% of the time (22 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Short track record (22 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 22 flights

    Find Delta 1110 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Delta Air Lines83%

    372 flights · 86% on time as flown · 1.2% cancel

  • SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)80%

    562 flights · 79% on time as flown · 0.4% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM91%

    190 flights · avg delay 19 min

  • 9 AM to noon82%

    283 flights · avg delay 17 min

  • Noon to 3 PM81%

    193 flights · avg delay 17 min

  • 3 to 6 PM75%

    106 flights · avg delay 42 min

  • 6 to 9 PM78%

    164 flights · avg delay 23 min

Best day: Saturday (89%). Worst: Friday (84%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
76
F
81
M
88
A
89
M
88
J
89
J
85
A
89
S
92
O
94
N
89
D
77

What delays this route

  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)67%
  • Severe weather15%
  • Late-arriving aircraft14%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume4%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

MSN to DTW questions

What time of day is best to fly MSN to DTW?
Before 9 AM: 91% of flights arrived on time, against 75% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from MSN to DTW?
Delta, with a season-adjusted 83% chance of operating and arriving on time over 372 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on MSN to DTW?
January (76% on time); the best was October (94%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from MSN

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops