Route on-time record
MSN to EWR: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Madison (Dane County Regional Truax Field) to Newark (Newark Liberty International Airport). 375 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 88% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.9% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Republic 3482 at 6:00 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
MSN → EWR
Madison to Newark: 375 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
88%
Cancelled
2.9%
avg delay 13 min
Best time to leave
No clear winner
Most reliable airline
United
87% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Republic 3482 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
6:00 AM → 9:22 AM2h 21m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Republic 3412; its record covers all of them.
88%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 93%
- Cancelled
- 4.6%
- Avg arrival delay
- 7 min
- Arrived on time 93% of the time (104 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 4.6% of the time (5 of 109).
Moderate track record · 104 flights
Find 6:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Republic 3675 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
10:53 AM → 2:13 PM2h 20m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
84%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 90%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 2 min
- Arrived on time 90% of the time (10 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Lands inside EWR's trouble window: 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Short track record (10 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 10 flights
Find 10:53 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- United Airlines87%
139 flights · 90% on time as flown · 1.9% cancel
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)84%
236 flights · 87% on time as flown · 3.7% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM88%
363 flights · avg delay 13 min
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)57%
- Air traffic control and airport volume22%
- Late-arriving aircraft20%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
MSN to EWR questions
- Which airline is most on time from MSN to EWR?
- United, with a season-adjusted 87% chance of operating and arriving on time over 139 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on MSN to EWR?
- January (76% on time); the best was October (93%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from MSN
- EWR to MSN (return)
- MSN to ORD 71%
- MSN to DCA 75%
- MSN to MSP 83%
- MSN to DFW 73%
- MSN to DEN 79%
- MSN to ATL 90%
- MSN to CLT 84%
- MSN to DTW 82%
- MSN to LGA 85%
- MSN to PHX 80%
- MSN to PHL 83%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops