Route on-time record
LGA to MSN: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
New York (LaGuardia Airport) to Madison (Dane County Regional Truax Field). 859 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 72% arrived within 15 minutes and 6.6% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Republic 5623 at 12:35 PM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
LGA → MSN
New York to Madison: 859 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
72%
Cancelled
6.6%
avg delay 21 min
Best time to leave
9 AM to noon
81% on time vs 68% after 9 PM
Most reliable airline
Republic
68% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $396 (American 4338 on 2026-10-27). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Republic 5623 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
12:35 PM → 2:17 PM2h 42m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
72%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 77%
- Cancelled
- 2.2%
- Avg arrival delay
- 13 min
- Arrived on time 77% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside LGA's trouble window: 54% of its 285 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
- 51% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (44 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 44 flights
Find 12:35 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Republic 5633 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
6:25 PM → 8:11 PM2h 46m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-06.
71%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 85%
- Cancelled
- 4.8%
- Avg arrival delay
- 16 min
- Arrived on time 85% of the time (20 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside LGA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 54% of its 285 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (20 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 20 flights
Find 6:25 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Republic 5625 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
12:52 PM → 2:28 PM2h 36m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-12.
71%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 72%
- Cancelled
- 11.1%
- Avg arrival delay
- 11 min
- Arrived on time 72% of the time (32 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 11.1% of the time (4 of 36).
- Departs inside LGA's trouble window: 54% of its 285 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
- Short track record (32 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 32 flights
Find 12:52 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Republic 4593 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
5:59 PM → 7:42 PM2h 43m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
65%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 70%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 31 min
- Arrived on time 70% of the time (10 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside LGA's trouble window: 54% of its 285 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
- 60% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (10 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 10 flights
Find 5:59 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · Republic 4565 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
7:29 PM → 9:14 PM2h 45m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-18.
65%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 69%
- Cancelled
- 4.5%
- Avg arrival delay
- 23 min
- Arrived on time 69% of the time (42 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 4.5% of the time (2 of 44).
- Departs outside LGA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 54% of its 285 ground stops and delay programs started).
- 62% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Limited track record · 42 flights
Find 7:29 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · Republic 5611 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
5:50 PM → 7:28 PM2h 38m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-12.
62%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 55%
- Cancelled
- 6.5%
- Avg arrival delay
- 43 min
- Arrived on time 55% of the time (29 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 6.5% of the time (2 of 31).
- Departs inside LGA's trouble window: 54% of its 285 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
- Short track record (29 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 29 flights
Find 5:50 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · Republic 4597 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
7:59 PM → 9:39 PM2h 40m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
56%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 40%
- Cancelled
- 16.7%
- Avg arrival delay
- 82 min
- Arrived on time 40% of the time (25 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 16.7% of the time (5 of 30).
- Departs outside LGA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 54% of its 285 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (25 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 25 flights
Find 7:59 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)68%
858 flights · 72% on time as flown · 6.6% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- 9 AM to noon81%
36 flights · avg delay 11 min
- Noon to 3 PM79%
263 flights · avg delay 14 min
- 3 to 6 PM69%
195 flights · avg delay 21 min
- 6 to 9 PM69%
175 flights · avg delay 28 min
- After 9 PM68%
189 flights · avg delay 25 min
Best day: Saturday (82%). Worst: Sunday (72%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
EWR → MSN 70% chance on time
Newark Liberty International Airport to Dane County Regional Truax Field · 375 flights a year · 17 mi from your airports · yours: 68%
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft45%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)31%
- Air traffic control and airport volume22%
- Severe weather2%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
LGA to MSN questions
- What time of day is best to fly LGA to MSN?
- 9 AM to noon: 81% of flights arrived on time, against 68% for departures after 9 PM.
- Which airline is most on time from LGA to MSN?
- Republic, with a season-adjusted 68% chance of operating and arriving on time over 858 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on LGA to MSN?
- March (67% on time); the best was September (87%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from LGA
- MSN to LGA (return)
- LGA to ORD 67%
- LGA to ATL 76%
- LGA to BOS 73%
- LGA to DFW 70%
- LGA to MIA 70%
- LGA to MCO 69%
- LGA to DCA 68%
- LGA to DEN 71%
- LGA to FLL 68%
- LGA to CLT 77%
- LGA to IAH 76%
- LGA to DTW 78%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops