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Route on-time record

EWR to MSN: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Newark (Newark Liberty International Airport) to Madison (Dane County Regional Truax Field). 375 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 73% arrived within 15 minutes and 4.8% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Republic 3620 at 6:47 PM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

EWR → MSN

Newark to Madison: 375 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

73%

Cancelled

4.8%

avg delay 26 min

Best time to leave

6 to 9 PM

78% on time vs 65% after 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Republic

72% chance on time

Check EWR to MSN fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $300 (United 2063 on 2026-10-27). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Republic 3620 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    6:47 PM → 8:33 PM2h 46m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    78%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    86%
    Cancelled
    4.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    11 min
    • Arrived on time 86% of the time (80 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 4.7% of the time (4 of 85).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 78% on time; After 9 PM: 65%).
    • Departs inside EWR's trouble window: 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Moderate track record · 80 flights

    Find 6:47 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Republic 3608 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    8:38 AM → 10:09 AM2h 31m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    90%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    4 min
    • Arrived on time 90% of the time (10 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside EWR's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (10 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 10 flights

    Find 8:38 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Republic 3623 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    8:47 PM → 10:37 PM2h 50m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-03-28.

    74%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    82%
    Cancelled
    8.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    21 min
    • Arrived on time 82% of the time (22 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 78% on time; After 9 PM: 65%).
    • Departs outside EWR's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (22 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 22 flights

    Find 8:47 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)72%

    236 flights · 79% on time as flown · 6.3% cancel

  • United Airlines67%

    139 flights · 64% on time as flown · 2.8% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • 3 to 6 PM77%

    58 flights · avg delay 35 min

  • 6 to 9 PM78%

    167 flights · avg delay 24 min

  • After 9 PM65%

    139 flights · avg delay 25 min

Best day: Tuesday (80%). Worst: Sunday (67%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
79
F
84
M
89
A
79
M
71
J
65
J
50
A
69
S
83
O
84
N
61
D
65

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft62%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)20%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume17%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from EWR to MSN…

EWR to MSN questions

What time of day is best to fly EWR to MSN?
6 to 9 PM: 78% of flights arrived on time, against 65% for departures after 9 PM.
Which airline is most on time from EWR to MSN?
Republic, with a season-adjusted 72% chance of operating and arriving on time over 236 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on EWR to MSN?
July (50% on time); the best was March (89%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from EWR

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops