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Route on-time record

DTW to MSN: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Detroit (Detroit Metropolitan Wayne County Airport) to Madison (Dane County Regional Truax Field). 935 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 75% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.9% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 844 at 12:25 PM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

DTW → MSN

Detroit to Madison: 935 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

75%

Cancelled

0.9%

avg delay 21 min

Best time to leave

Noon to 3 PM

78% on time vs 70% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

Delta

77% chance on time

Check DTW to MSN fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Delta 844

    12:25 PM → 12:41 PM1h 16m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    89%
    Cancelled
    5.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 89% of the time (18 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 78% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 70%).
    • Departs outside DTW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (18 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 18 flights

    Find Delta 844 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · SkyWest 4173 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    8:35 AM → 9:01 AM1h 26m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-06.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    90%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 90% of the time (21 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside DTW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (21 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 21 flights

    Find 8:35 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Delta 1418

    5:11 PM → 5:26 PM1h 15m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    74%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    81%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    12 min
    • Arrived on time 81% of the time (21 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 70% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 78%).
    • Departs inside DTW's trouble window: 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (21 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 21 flights

    Find Delta 1418 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Delta 1118

    5:20 PM → 5:36 PM1h 16m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-06.

    74%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    83%
    Cancelled
    4.2%
    Avg arrival delay
    13 min
    • Arrived on time 83% of the time (23 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 70% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 78%).
    • Departs inside DTW's trouble window: 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (23 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 23 flights

    Find Delta 1118 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Delta 1096

    8:50 PM → 9:06 PM1h 16m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-11.

    72%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    71%
    Cancelled
    2.9%
    Avg arrival delay
    25 min
    • Arrived on time 71% of the time (34 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside DTW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 58% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (34 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 34 flights

    Find Delta 1096 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Delta Air Lines77%

    371 flights · 80% on time as flown · 1.0% cancel

  • SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)72%

    562 flights · 71% on time as flown · 0.7% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM77%

    246 flights · avg delay 17 min

  • 9 AM to noon73%

    37 flights · avg delay 16 min

  • Noon to 3 PM78%

    193 flights · avg delay 19 min

  • 3 to 6 PM70%

    270 flights · avg delay 26 min

  • 6 to 9 PM73%

    177 flights · avg delay 23 min

Best day: Saturday (83%). Worst: Sunday (77%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
62
F
68
M
81
A
81
M
80
J
86
J
81
A
80
S
89
O
90
N
83
D
73

What delays this route

  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)66%
  • Severe weather16%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume9%
  • Late-arriving aircraft9%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from DTW to MSN…

DTW to MSN questions

What time of day is best to fly DTW to MSN?
Noon to 3 PM: 78% of flights arrived on time, against 70% for departures 3 to 6 PM.
Which airline is most on time from DTW to MSN?
Delta, with a season-adjusted 77% chance of operating and arriving on time over 371 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on DTW to MSN?
January (62% on time); the best was October (90%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from DTW

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops