Route on-time record
BUF to JFK: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Buffalo (Buffalo Niagara International Airport) to New York (John F. Kennedy International Airport). 1,213 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 79% arrived within 15 minutes and 4.8% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was JetBlue 2001 at 6:00 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
BUF → JFK
Buffalo to New York: 1,213 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
79%
Cancelled
4.8%
avg delay 20 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
87% on time vs 72% 6 to 9 PM
Most reliable airline
JetBlue
75% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $109 (JetBlue 201 on 2026-10-21). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · JetBlue 2001
6:00 AM → 7:29 AM1h 29m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
85%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 88%
- Cancelled
- 2.7%
- Avg arrival delay
- 10 min
- Arrived on time 88% of the time (327 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 87% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 72%).
Strong track record · 327 flights
Find JetBlue 2001 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · JetBlue 1901
9:54 AM → 11:20 AM1h 26m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
78%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 81%
- Cancelled
- 4.7%
- Avg arrival delay
- 12 min
- Arrived on time 81% of the time (241 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 4.7% of the time (12 of 254).
- 52% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Strong track record · 241 flights
Find JetBlue 1901 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · JetBlue 2901
10:54 AM → 12:30 PM1h 36m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
75%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 78%
- Cancelled
- 3.8%
- Avg arrival delay
- 22 min
- Arrived on time 78% of the time (230 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.8% of the time (9 of 240).
Strong track record · 230 flights
Find JetBlue 2901 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · JetBlue 2401
2:47 PM → 4:24 PM1h 37m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
75%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 83%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 29 min
- Arrived on time 83% of the time (12 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Lands inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Short track record (12 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 12 flights
Find JetBlue 2401 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · JetBlue 501
7:02 PM → 8:32 PM1h 31m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-28.
69%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 71%
- Cancelled
- 6.6%
- Avg arrival delay
- 29 min
- Arrived on time 71% of the time (169 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 6.6% of the time (12 of 181).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 72% on time; Before 9 AM: 87%).
- 62% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Moderate track record · 169 flights
Find JetBlue 501 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · JetBlue 201
7:55 PM → 9:29 PM1h 34m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
63%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 70%
- Cancelled
- 8.1%
- Avg arrival delay
- 41 min
- Arrived on time 70% of the time (159 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 8.1% of the time (14 of 173).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 72% on time; Before 9 AM: 87%).
- 54% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Moderate track record · 159 flights
Find JetBlue 201 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- JetBlue75%
1,213 flights · 79% on time as flown · 4.8% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM87%
356 flights · avg delay 10 min
- 9 AM to noon82%
282 flights · avg delay 13 min
- Noon to 3 PM76%
145 flights · avg delay 28 min
- 3 to 6 PM75%
113 flights · avg delay 24 min
- 6 to 9 PM72%
317 flights · avg delay 35 min
Best day: Tuesday (83%). Worst: Sunday (76%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
BUF → EWR 85% chance on time
Buffalo Niagara International Airport to Newark Liberty International Airport · 399 flights a year · 21 mi from your airports · yours: 76%
ROC → JFK 79% chance on time
Frederick Douglass Greater Rochester International Airport to John F. Kennedy International Airport · 600 flights a year · 55 mi from your airports · yours: 76%
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft47%
- Air traffic control and airport volume27%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)27%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
BUF to JFK questions
- What time of day is best to fly BUF to JFK?
- Before 9 AM: 87% of flights arrived on time, against 72% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from BUF to JFK?
- JetBlue, with a season-adjusted 75% chance of operating and arriving on time over 1,213 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on BUF to JFK?
- January (67% on time); the best was October (87%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from BUF
- JFK to BUF (return)
- BUF to ORD 73%
- BUF to LGA 77%
- BUF to MCO 76%
- BUF to BWI 86%
- BUF to ATL 80%
- BUF to CLT 78%
- BUF to DCA 65%
- BUF to BOS 74%
- BUF to DTW 81%
- BUF to MDW 78%
- BUF to TPA 77%
- BUF to DEN 80%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops