Route on-time record
BUF to MCO: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Buffalo (Buffalo Niagara International Airport) to Orlando (Orlando International Airport). 1,770 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 76% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.2% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 1690 at 7:00 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
BUF → MCO
Buffalo to Orlando: 1,770 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
76%
Cancelled
1.2%
avg delay 17 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
88% on time vs 63% 3 to 6 PM
Most reliable airline
Southwest
76% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $165 (Southwest 715 on 2026-10-26). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Southwest 1690
7:00 AM → 9:40 AM2h 40m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.
87%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 100%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 1 min
- Arrived on time 100% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 88% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 63%).
- Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 8 flights
Find Southwest 1690 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Southwest 927
5:00 AM → 7:35 AM2h 35m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Southwest 1411; its record covers all of them.
86%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 87%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 8 min
- Arrived on time 87% of the time (82 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 82 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 88% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 63%).
Moderate track record · 82 flights
Find Southwest 927 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Southwest 518
6:20 AM → 9:10 AM2h 50m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-05.
85%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 85%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 5 min
- Arrived on time 85% of the time (13 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 88% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 63%).
- Short track record (13 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 13 flights
Find Southwest 518 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · JetBlue 85
6:00 AM → 8:40 AM2h 40m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
82%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 83%
- Cancelled
- 1.4%
- Avg arrival delay
- 12 min
- Arrived on time 83% of the time (359 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 88% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 63%).
Strong track record · 359 flights
Find JetBlue 85 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · Frontier 1691
11:44 AM → 2:43 PM2h 47m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.
82%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 82%
- Cancelled
- 1.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 14 min
- Arrived on time 82% of the time (151 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Lands inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Moderate track record · 151 flights
Find Frontier 1691 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · Southwest 1093
10:55 AM → 1:30 PM2h 35m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-29.
78%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 82%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 11 min
- Arrived on time 82% of the time (39 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 39 scheduled flights.
- Lands inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Short track record (39 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 39 flights
Find Southwest 1093 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · Southwest 295
9:50 AM → 12:25 PM2h 35m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
78%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 88%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 4 min
- Arrived on time 88% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 8 flights
Find Southwest 295 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#8 · Southwest 1294
8:50 AM → 11:35 AM2h 45m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
73%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 59%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 20 min
- Arrived on time 59% of the time (32 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 33 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 88% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 63%).
- Short track record (32 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 32 flights
Find Southwest 1294 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#9 · Southwest 1137
4:10 PM → 6:50 PM2h 40m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.
65%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 50%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 26 min
- Arrived on time 50% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 63% on time; Before 9 AM: 88%).
- Lands inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 8 flights
Find Southwest 1137 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#10 · Frontier 1351
9:25 PM → 12:23 AM2h 58m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
64%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 64%
- Cancelled
- 2.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 49 min
- Arrived on time 64% of the time (85 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
Moderate track record · 85 flights
Find Frontier 1351 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Southwest Airlines76%
952 flights · 77% on time as flown · 0.7% cancel
- JetBlue75%
533 flights · 76% on time as flown · 1.7% cancel
- Frontier Airlines75%
285 flights · 76% on time as flown · 1.6% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM88%
753 flights · avg delay 8 min
- 9 AM to noon82%
210 flights · avg delay 13 min
- Noon to 3 PM64%
234 flights · avg delay 26 min
- 3 to 6 PM63%
274 flights · avg delay 25 min
- 6 to 9 PM65%
230 flights · avg delay 32 min
- After 9 PM65%
69 flights · avg delay 29 min
Best day: Tuesday (84%). Worst: Sunday (73%).
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft47%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)29%
- Air traffic control and airport volume24%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
BUF to MCO questions
- What time of day is best to fly BUF to MCO?
- Before 9 AM: 88% of flights arrived on time, against 63% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from BUF to MCO?
- Southwest, with a season-adjusted 76% chance of operating and arriving on time over 952 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on BUF to MCO?
- July (72% on time); the best was October (86%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from BUF
- MCO to BUF (return)
- BUF to ORD 73%
- BUF to LGA 77%
- BUF to BWI 86%
- BUF to ATL 80%
- BUF to CLT 78%
- BUF to JFK 79%
- BUF to DCA 65%
- BUF to BOS 74%
- BUF to DTW 81%
- BUF to MDW 78%
- BUF to TPA 77%
- BUF to DEN 80%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops