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Route on-time record

ROC to JFK: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Rochester (Frederick Douglass Greater Rochester International Airport) to New York (John F. Kennedy International Airport). 600 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 82% arrived within 15 minutes and 3.5% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was JetBlue 1285 at 6:30 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

ROC → JFK

Rochester to New York: 600 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

82%

Cancelled

3.5%

avg delay 15 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

88% on time vs 50% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

JetBlue

79% chance on time

Check ROC to JFK fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $121 (JetBlue 1285 on 2026-11-12). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · JetBlue 1285

    6:30 AM → 7:56 AM1h 26m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    85%
    Cancelled
    4.2%
    Avg arrival delay
    17 min
    • Arrived on time 85% of the time (226 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 4.2% of the time (10 of 236).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 88% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 50%).

    Strong track record · 226 flights

    Find JetBlue 1285 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  2. #2 · JetBlue 1385

    9:50 AM → 11:08 AM1h 18m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-03-11.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    85%
    Cancelled
    3.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    13 min
    • Arrived on time 85% of the time (26 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Short track record (26 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 26 flights

    Find JetBlue 1385 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  3. #3 · JetBlue 185

    6:10 AM → 7:31 AM1h 21m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-28.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    82%
    Cancelled
    4.9%
    Avg arrival delay
    12 min
    • Arrived on time 82% of the time (175 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 4.9% of the time (9 of 184).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 88% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 50%).

    Moderate track record · 175 flights

    Find JetBlue 185 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  4. #4 · JetBlue 485

    10:52 AM → 12:24 PM1h 32m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    77%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    79%
    Cancelled
    0.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    17 min
    • Arrived on time 79% of the time (150 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).

    Moderate track record · 150 flights

    Find JetBlue 485 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • JetBlue79%

    600 flights · 82% on time as flown · 3.5% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM88%

    364 flights · avg delay 10 min

  • 9 AM to noon81%

    54 flights · avg delay 16 min

  • Noon to 3 PM80%

    124 flights · avg delay 15 min

  • 3 to 6 PM50%

    58 flights · avg delay 47 min

Best day: Wednesday (85%). Worst: Sunday (76%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

  • BUF → EWR 85% chance on time

    Buffalo Niagara International Airport to Newark Liberty International Airport · 399 flights a year · 76 mi from your airports · yours: 79%

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
70
F
76
M
84
A
86
M
84
J
79
J
71
A
81
S
83
O
87
N
88
D
75

What delays this route

  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)37%
  • Late-arriving aircraft30%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume29%
  • Severe weather3%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

ROC to JFK questions

What time of day is best to fly ROC to JFK?
Before 9 AM: 88% of flights arrived on time, against 50% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from ROC to JFK?
JetBlue, with a season-adjusted 79% chance of operating and arriving on time over 600 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on ROC to JFK?
January (70% on time); the best was November (88%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from ROC

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops