Route on-time record

TPA to PHL: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Tampa (Tampa International Airport) to Philadelphia (Philadelphia International Airport). 2,587 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 75% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.2% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was American 1806 at 7:00 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

TPA → PHL

Tampa to Philadelphia: 2,587 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

75%

Cancelled

2.2%

avg delay 24 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

92% on time vs 57% after 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Southwest

75% chance on time

Check TPA to PHL fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

#1 · American 1806
7:00 AM → 9:41 AM2h 41m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as American 1965; its record covers all of them.
89%
chance on time
On time (history)
92%
Cancelled
3.0%
Avg arrival delay
12 min
- Arrived on time 92% of the time (294 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 92% on time; After 9 PM: 57%).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 294 flights
Find American 1806 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#2 · American 3010
6:00 AM → 8:38 AM2h 38m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
83%
chance on time
On time (history)
90%
Cancelled
2.3%
Avg arrival delay
38 min
- Arrived on time 90% of the time (42 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 92% on time; After 9 PM: 57%).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
- 78% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Limited track record · 42 flights
Find American 3010 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#3 · American 1012
9:15 AM → 11:51 AM2h 36m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
83%
chance on time
On time (history)
87%
Cancelled
1.9%
Avg arrival delay
12 min
- Arrived on time 87% of the time (52 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (52 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 52 flights
Find American 1012 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#4 · American 3031
10:37 AM → 1:14 PM2h 37m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
83%
chance on time
On time (history)
92%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
2 min
- Arrived on time 92% of the time (37 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 37 scheduled flights.
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (37 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 37 flights
Find American 3031 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#5 · Frontier 2836
8:59 AM → 8:41 AM2h 41m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
78%
chance on time
On time (history)
79%
Cancelled
1.0%
Avg arrival delay
20 min
- Arrived on time 79% of the time (197 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 92% on time; After 9 PM: 57%).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
- 75% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Moderate track record · 197 flights
Find Frontier 2836 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#6 · American 3062
1:57 PM → 4:38 PM2h 41m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
78%
chance on time
On time (history)
84%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
7 min
- Arrived on time 84% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
- Departs inside TPA's trouble window: 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
- Lands inside PHL's trouble window: 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
Limited track record · 44 flights
Find American 3062 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#7 · American 2807
10:23 AM → 1:02 PM2h 39m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
75%
chance on time
On time (history)
73%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
10 min
- Arrived on time 73% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
- 62% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find American 2807 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#8 · American 2523
11:56 AM → 2:32 PM2h 36m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
74%
chance on time
On time (history)
74%
Cancelled
0.9%
Avg arrival delay
22 min
- Arrived on time 74% of the time (218 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside PHL's trouble window: 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- 60% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Strong track record · 218 flights
Find American 2523 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#9 · American 2822
1:22 PM → 4:09 PM2h 46m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
74%
chance on time
On time (history)
73%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
11 min
- Arrived on time 73% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside TPA's trouble window: 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
- Lands inside PHL's trouble window: 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find American 2822 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#10 · Frontier 2340
7:14 PM → 9:55 PM2h 41m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-02.
73%
chance on time
On time (history)
76%
Cancelled
1.7%
Avg arrival delay
18 min
- Arrived on time 76% of the time (237 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 237 flights
Find Frontier 2340 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

Southwest Airlines75%
162 flights · 77% on time as flown · 2.0% cancel
American Airlines74%
1,648 flights · 75% on time as flown · 2.2% cancel
Frontier Airlines71%
777 flights · 73% on time as flown · 2.2% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

Before 9 AM92%
545 flights · avg delay 12 min
9 AM to noon83%
677 flights · avg delay 13 min
Noon to 3 PM71%
509 flights · avg delay 32 min
3 to 6 PM59%
461 flights · avg delay 40 min
6 to 9 PM61%
283 flights · avg delay 32 min
After 9 PM57%
112 flights · avg delay 38 min

Best day: Wednesday (82%). Worst: Sunday (71%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

SRQ → PHL 76% chance on time
Sarasota Bradenton International Airport to Philadelphia International Airport · 471 flights a year · 40 mi from your airports · yours: 73%
Rank flights Fares

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

What delays this route

Late-arriving aircraft60%
Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)19%
Air traffic control and airport volume14%
Severe weather7%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

TPA to PHL questions

What time of day is best to fly TPA to PHL?: Before 9 AM: 92% of flights arrived on time, against 57% for departures after 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from TPA to PHL?: Southwest, with a season-adjusted 75% chance of operating and arriving on time over 162 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on TPA to PHL?: July (65% on time); the best was September (84%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?: No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

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