Route on-time record
TPA to DFW: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Tampa (Tampa International Airport) to Dallas-Fort Worth (Dallas Fort Worth International Airport). 2,918 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 75% arrived within 15 minutes and 3.3% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was American 2268 at 6:00 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
TPA → DFW
Tampa to Dallas-Fort Worth: 2,918 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
75%
Cancelled
3.3%
avg delay 22 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
89% on time vs 56% 6 to 9 PM
Most reliable airline
Spirit
76% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $186 (Frontier 2401 on 2026-10-25). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · American 2268
6:00 AM → 8:03 AM3h 03m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
86%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 89%
- Cancelled
- 3.4%
- Avg arrival delay
- 14 min
- Arrived on time 89% of the time (197 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.4% of the time (7 of 204).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 56%).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 197 flights
Find American 2268 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · American 1139
8:00 AM → 10:00 AM3h 00m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
85%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 93%
- Cancelled
- 2.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 6 min
- Arrived on time 93% of the time (43 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 56%).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (43 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 43 flights
Find American 1139 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · American 1369
9:16 AM → 11:15 AM2h 59m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
84%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 90%
- Cancelled
- 2.7%
- Avg arrival delay
- 16 min
- Arrived on time 90% of the time (73 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
- 59% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Moderate track record · 73 flights
Find American 1369 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · American 1189
5:35 AM → 7:46 AM3h 11m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
83%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 86%
- Cancelled
- 2.6%
- Avg arrival delay
- 26 min
- Arrived on time 86% of the time (187 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 56%).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 187 flights
Find American 1189 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · American 1768
6:50 AM → 8:46 AM2h 56m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
83%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 84%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 14 min
- Arrived on time 84% of the time (73 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 73 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 56%).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 73 flights
Find American 1768 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · American 1125
8:15 AM → 10:26 AM3h 11m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-03-28.
80%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 85%
- Cancelled
- 2.7%
- Avg arrival delay
- 12 min
- Arrived on time 85% of the time (143 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 56%).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 143 flights
Find American 1125 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · American 2999
11:20 AM → 1:18 PM2h 58m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20. Same departure also flew as American 2321; its record covers all of them.
80%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 85%
- Cancelled
- 2.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 12 min
- Arrived on time 85% of the time (192 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside DFW's trouble window: 53% of its 139 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Moderate track record · 192 flights
Find American 2999 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#8 · American 1514
9:22 AM → 11:30 AM3h 08m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
78%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 84%
- Cancelled
- 3.8%
- Avg arrival delay
- 17 min
- Arrived on time 84% of the time (149 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.8% of the time (6 of 156).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 149 flights
Find American 1514 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#9 · American 2814
11:36 AM → 1:26 PM2h 50m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
77%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 82%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 15 min
- Arrived on time 82% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside DFW's trouble window: 53% of its 139 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find American 2814 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#10 · Frontier 1333
10:00 AM → 12:11 PM3h 11m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
75%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 78%
- Cancelled
- 3.5%
- Avg arrival delay
- 20 min
- Arrived on time 78% of the time (163 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.5% of the time (6 of 171).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 163 flights
Find Frontier 1333 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Spirit Airlines76%
84 flights · 76% on time as flown · 2.5% cancel
- Frontier Airlines74%
215 flights · 78% on time as flown · 3.0% cancel
- American Airlines72%
2,559 flights · 75% on time as flown · 3.4% cancel
- Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)70%
60 flights · 59% on time as flown · 2.8% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM89%
685 flights · avg delay 13 min
- 9 AM to noon81%
760 flights · avg delay 18 min
- Noon to 3 PM74%
481 flights · avg delay 21 min
- 3 to 6 PM63%
584 flights · avg delay 29 min
- 6 to 9 PM56%
383 flights · avg delay 40 min
Best day: Tuesday (77%). Worst: Sunday (71%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
TPA → DAL 77% chance on time
Tampa International Airport to Dallas Love Field · 1,316 flights a year · 12 mi from your airports · yours: 72%
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft45%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)30%
- Air traffic control and airport volume18%
- Severe weather8%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
TPA to DFW questions
- What time of day is best to fly TPA to DFW?
- Before 9 AM: 89% of flights arrived on time, against 56% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from TPA to DFW?
- Spirit, with a season-adjusted 76% chance of operating and arriving on time over 84 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on TPA to DFW?
- June (65% on time); the best was February (83%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from TPA
- DFW to TPA (return)
- TPA to ATL 79%
- TPA to CLT 82%
- TPA to ORD 72%
- TPA to DEN 81%
- TPA to MIA 77%
- TPA to LGA 71%
- TPA to BOS 74%
- TPA to BWI 79%
- TPA to EWR 75%
- TPA to PHL 75%
- TPA to BNA 74%
- TPA to DTW 81%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops