Skip to content

All Products

Aviation Intelligence

Alerts & Airspace

Free Pilot Tools & Widgets

RC Aviation

Games & Learning

Weather Research & More

Pilot Resources

My Airports

Your shortcuts, saved on this device. Search to add an airport.

No airports saved yet. Add the fields you visit most.

Ask ATIS

Route on-time record

PHL to TPA: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Philadelphia (Philadelphia International Airport) to Tampa (Tampa International Airport). 2,586 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 73% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.0% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was American 2807 at 7:00 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

PHL → TPA

Philadelphia to Tampa: 2,586 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

73%

Cancelled

2.0%

avg delay 23 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

83% on time vs 63% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Southwest

74% chance on time

Check PHL to TPA fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $112 (Frontier 2269 on 2026-10-24). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · American 2807

    7:00 AM → 9:43 AM2h 43m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as American 3031, 3236; its record covers all of them.

    88%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    94%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    3 min
    • Arrived on time 94% of the time (83 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 83 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 83% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 63%).
    • Departs outside PHL's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 83 flights

    Find American 2807 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · American 3062

    10:12 AM → 1:05 PM2h 53m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    93%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    2 min
    • Arrived on time 93% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside PHL's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside TPA's trouble window: 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Limited track record · 44 flights

    Find American 3062 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · American 2332

    11:45 AM → 2:35 PM2h 50m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    80%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    86%
    Cancelled
    3.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    29 min
    • Arrived on time 86% of the time (29 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.3% of the time (1 of 30).
    • Departs outside PHL's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside TPA's trouble window: 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Limited track record · 29 flights

    Find American 2332 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Southwest 1752

    11:50 AM → 2:20 PM2h 30m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    87%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    22 min
    • Arrived on time 87% of the time (15 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside PHL's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside TPA's trouble window: 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
    • Short track record (15 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 15 flights

    Find Southwest 1752 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · American 2822

    9:50 AM → 12:32 PM2h 42m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    78%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    91%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 91% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside PHL's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside TPA's trouble window: 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
    • Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find American 2822 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · American 2523

    8:15 AM → 11:06 AM2h 51m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    78%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    80%
    Cancelled
    2.4%
    Avg arrival delay
    18 min
    • Arrived on time 80% of the time (281 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 83% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 63%).
    • Departs outside PHL's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 281 flights

    Find American 2523 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · American 1557

    10:45 AM → 1:35 PM2h 50m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    76%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    76%
    Cancelled
    3.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    28 min
    • Arrived on time 76% of the time (29 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.3% of the time (1 of 30).
    • Departs outside PHL's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside TPA's trouble window: 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Limited track record · 29 flights

    Find American 1557 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · Southwest 3978

    11:15 AM → 2:00 PM2h 45m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-01.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    63%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    20 min
    • Arrived on time 63% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside PHL's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside TPA's trouble window: 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
    • 67% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 8 flights

    Find Southwest 3978 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · Frontier 2537

    5:01 AM → 7:59 AM2h 58m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-16.

    74%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    77%
    Cancelled
    4.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    33 min
    • Arrived on time 77% of the time (70 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 4.1% of the time (3 of 73).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 83% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 63%).
    • Departs outside PHL's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 70 flights

    Find Frontier 2537 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  10. #10 · American 1154

    8:05 PM → 10:56 PM2h 51m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-19.

    74%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    79%
    Cancelled
    2.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 79% of the time (43 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 63% on time; Before 9 AM: 83%).
    • Departs outside PHL's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 72% of its 95 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (43 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 43 flights

    Find American 1154 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Southwest Airlines74%

    162 flights · 77% on time as flown · 1.6% cancel

  • American Airlines73%

    1,648 flights · 74% on time as flown · 2.1% cancel

  • Frontier Airlines68%

    776 flights · 70% on time as flown · 2.1% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM83%

    753 flights · avg delay 15 min

  • 9 AM to noon79%

    602 flights · avg delay 23 min

  • Noon to 3 PM66%

    389 flights · avg delay 26 min

  • 3 to 6 PM64%

    285 flights · avg delay 28 min

  • 6 to 9 PM63%

    534 flights · avg delay 30 min

Best day: Wednesday (79%). Worst: Sunday (70%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

  • PHL → SRQ 80% chance on time

    Philadelphia International Airport to Sarasota Bradenton International Airport · 471 flights a year · 40 mi from your airports · yours: 72%

    Rank flightsFares

  • ACY → TPA 80% chance on time

    Atlantic City International Airport to Tampa International Airport · 363 flights a year · 46 mi from your airports · yours: 72%

    Rank flightsFares

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
71
F
78
M
76
A
78
M
74
J
72
J
63
A
68
S
78
O
79
N
80
D
70

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft52%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)31%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume16%
  • Severe weather2%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

PHL to TPA questions

What time of day is best to fly PHL to TPA?
Before 9 AM: 83% of flights arrived on time, against 63% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from PHL to TPA?
Southwest, with a season-adjusted 74% chance of operating and arriving on time over 162 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on PHL to TPA?
July (63% on time); the best was November (80%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from PHL

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops