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Route on-time record

TPA to DTW: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Tampa (Tampa International Airport) to Detroit (Detroit Metropolitan Wayne County Airport). 2,413 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 81% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.8% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 808 at 6:00 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

TPA → DTW

Tampa to Detroit: 2,413 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

81%

Cancelled

1.8%

avg delay 14 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

91% on time vs 69% after 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Delta

81% chance on time

Check TPA to DTW fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Delta 808

    6:00 AM → 8:43 AM2h 42m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    91%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    93%
    Cancelled
    1.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 93% of the time (336 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; After 9 PM: 69%).
    • Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 336 flights

    Find Delta 808 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Delta 1154

    8:35 AM → 11:15 AM2h 40m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-12.

    90%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    94%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    2 min
    • Arrived on time 94% of the time (36 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 36 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; After 9 PM: 69%).
    • Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 36 flights

    Find Delta 1154 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Frontier 1035

    5:10 AM → 8:02 AM2h 52m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    87%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    86%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 86% of the time (66 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 66 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; After 9 PM: 69%).
    • Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 66 flights

    Find Frontier 1035 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Spirit 582

    6:30 AM → 9:10 AM2h 40m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-14.

    83%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    86%
    Cancelled
    8.8%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 86% of the time (83 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 8.8% of the time (8 of 91).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 91% on time; After 9 PM: 69%).
    • Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 83 flights

    Find Spirit 582 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Delta 2852

    10:55 AM → 1:40 PM2h 42m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    82%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    83%
    Cancelled
    2.8%
    Avg arrival delay
    10 min
    • Arrived on time 83% of the time (105 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside DTW's trouble window: 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 58% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Moderate track record · 105 flights

    Find Delta 2852 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Delta 2587

    1:05 PM → 3:50 PM2h 45m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    80%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    20 min
    • Arrived on time 80% of the time (164 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 165 scheduled flights.
    • Departs inside TPA's trouble window: 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
    • Lands inside DTW's trouble window: 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Moderate track record · 164 flights

    Find Delta 2587 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · Delta 1927

    7:15 PM → 10:05 PM2h 50m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-12.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    78%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    53 min
    • Arrived on time 78% of the time (36 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 36 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (36 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 36 flights

    Find Delta 1927 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · Delta 2858

    4:03 PM → 6:49 PM2h 46m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-06.

    74%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    73%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    19 min
    • Arrived on time 73% of the time (121 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 122 scheduled flights.
    • Departs inside TPA's trouble window: 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
    • Lands inside DTW's trouble window: 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Moderate track record · 121 flights

    Find Delta 2858 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · Spirit 1626

    9:12 AM → 11:52 AM2h 40m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-01.

    74%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    70%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    12 min
    • Arrived on time 70% of the time (10 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 57% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (10 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 10 flights

    Find Spirit 1626 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  10. #10 · Frontier 1271

    3:19 PM → 6:12 PM2h 52m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-17.

    73%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    65%
    Cancelled
    5.6%
    Avg arrival delay
    31 min
    • Arrived on time 65% of the time (17 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside TPA's trouble window: 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
    • Lands inside DTW's trouble window: 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (17 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 17 flights

    Find Frontier 1271 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Delta Air Lines81%

    1,715 flights · 82% on time as flown · 1.3% cancel

  • Spirit Airlines78%

    577 flights · 80% on time as flown · 3.3% cancel

  • Frontier Airlines78%

    116 flights · 76% on time as flown · 1.4% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM91%

    733 flights · avg delay 8 min

  • 9 AM to noon83%

    464 flights · avg delay 11 min

  • Noon to 3 PM78%

    453 flights · avg delay 16 min

  • 3 to 6 PM70%

    352 flights · avg delay 21 min

  • 6 to 9 PM73%

    319 flights · avg delay 23 min

  • After 9 PM69%

    92 flights · avg delay 22 min

Best day: Tuesday (85%). Worst: Sunday (78%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
76
F
82
M
75
A
83
M
82
J
77
J
75
A
80
S
90
O
89
N
88
D
81

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft45%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)30%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume22%
  • Severe weather4%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

TPA to DTW questions

What time of day is best to fly TPA to DTW?
Before 9 AM: 91% of flights arrived on time, against 69% for departures after 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from TPA to DTW?
Delta, with a season-adjusted 81% chance of operating and arriving on time over 1,715 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on TPA to DTW?
March (75% on time); the best was September (90%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from TPA

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops