Route on-time record

TPA to JFK: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Tampa (Tampa International Airport) to New York (John F. Kennedy International Airport). 2,304 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 80% arrived within 15 minutes and 3.1% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 2475 at 7:16 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

TPA → JFK

Tampa to New York: 2,304 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

80%

Cancelled

3.1%

avg delay 15 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

92% on time vs 65% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Frontier

80% chance on time

Check TPA to JFK fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

#1 · Delta 2475
7:16 AM → 10:00 AM2h 44m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
91%
chance on time
On time (history)
93%
Cancelled
2.5%
Avg arrival delay
6 min
- Arrived on time 93% of the time (356 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 92% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 65%).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 356 flights
Find Delta 2475 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#2 · JetBlue 996
6:00 AM → 8:51 AM2h 51m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
87%
chance on time
On time (history)
100%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
1 min
- Arrived on time 100% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 92% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 65%).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find JetBlue 996 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#3 · JetBlue 426
10:08 AM → 12:59 PM2h 42m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
87%
chance on time
On time (history)
92%
Cancelled
3.7%
Avg arrival delay
5 min
- Arrived on time 92% of the time (155 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.7% of the time (6 of 161).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
Moderate track record · 155 flights
Find JetBlue 426 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#4 · Delta 1488
11:47 AM → 2:45 PM2h 58m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-12.
83%
chance on time
On time (history)
86%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
17 min
- Arrived on time 86% of the time (36 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 36 scheduled flights.
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Limited track record · 36 flights
Find Delta 1488 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#5 · Delta 2044
12:35 PM → 3:32 PM2h 57m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-06.
82%
chance on time
On time (history)
92%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
8 min
- Arrived on time 92% of the time (24 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs inside TPA's trouble window: 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
- Lands inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Short track record (24 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 24 flights
Find Delta 2044 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#6 · JetBlue 1026
6:32 AM → 9:19 AM2h 47m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-13.
82%
chance on time
On time (history)
83%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
13 min
- Arrived on time 83% of the time (23 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 92% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 65%).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
- 67% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Limited track record · 23 flights
Find JetBlue 1026 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#7 · Delta 1642
11:04 AM → 1:54 PM2h 50m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
81%
chance on time
On time (history)
84%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
16 min
- Arrived on time 84% of the time (25 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- 86% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Limited track record · 25 flights
Find Delta 1642 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#8 · JetBlue 126
11:35 AM → 2:20 PM2h 42m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-13.
80%
chance on time
On time (history)
83%
Cancelled
3.6%
Avg arrival delay
11 min
- Arrived on time 83% of the time (291 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.6% of the time (11 of 303).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Strong track record · 291 flights
Find JetBlue 126 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#9 · JetBlue 1226
10:35 AM → 1:34 PM2h 59m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
79%
chance on time
On time (history)
91%
Cancelled
0.0%
Avg arrival delay
2 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find JetBlue 1226 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
#10 · Delta 2092
7:40 PM → 10:33 PM2h 53m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-06. Same departure also flew as Delta 1507; its record covers all of them.
74%
chance on time
On time (history)
79%
Cancelled
3.3%
Avg arrival delay
14 min
- Arrived on time 79% of the time (58 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.3% of the time (2 of 60).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 65% on time; Before 9 AM: 92%).
- Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
Limited track record · 58 flights
Find Delta 2092 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

Frontier Airlines80%
188 flights · 82% on time as flown · 1.7% cancel
Delta Air Lines80%
1,094 flights · 82% on time as flown · 2.9% cancel
JetBlue75%
1,022 flights · 77% on time as flown · 3.8% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

Before 9 AM92%
779 flights · avg delay 6 min
9 AM to noon82%
588 flights · avg delay 13 min
Noon to 3 PM72%
348 flights · avg delay 22 min
6 to 9 PM65%
520 flights · avg delay 27 min

Best day: Tuesday (83%). Worst: Sunday (72%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

SRQ → EWR 85% chance on time
Sarasota Bradenton International Airport to Newark Liberty International Airport · 937 flights a year · 61 mi from your airports · yours: 78%
Rank flights Fares

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

What delays this route

Late-arriving aircraft41%
Air traffic control and airport volume31%
Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)26%
Severe weather2%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

TPA to JFK questions

What time of day is best to fly TPA to JFK?: Before 9 AM: 92% of flights arrived on time, against 65% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from TPA to JFK?: Frontier, with a season-adjusted 80% chance of operating and arriving on time over 188 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on TPA to JFK?: July (69% on time); the best was September (86%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?: No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

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