Route on-time record
JFK to TPA: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
New York (John F. Kennedy International Airport) to Tampa (Tampa International Airport). 2,309 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 77% arrived within 15 minutes and 3.2% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 2042 at 7:30 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
JFK → TPA
New York to Tampa: 2,309 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
77%
Cancelled
3.2%
avg delay 18 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
88% on time vs 69% 6 to 9 PM
Most reliable airline
Delta
76% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $148 (JetBlue 2725 on 2026-11-07). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Delta 2042
7:30 AM → 10:29 AM3h 00m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
85%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 87%
- Cancelled
- 2.5%
- Avg arrival delay
- 10 min
- Arrived on time 87% of the time (351 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 88% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 69%).
- Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 351 flights
Find Delta 2042 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · JetBlue 941
9:40 AM → 12:49 PM3h 09m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
76%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 90%
- Cancelled
- 9.1%
- Avg arrival delay
- 10 min
- Arrived on time 90% of the time (10 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside TPA's trouble window: 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
- 58% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Limited track record · 10 flights
Find JetBlue 941 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · JetBlue 2725
6:30 AM → 9:35 AM3h 02m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
75%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 78%
- Cancelled
- 5.7%
- Avg arrival delay
- 18 min
- Arrived on time 78% of the time (281 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 5.7% of the time (17 of 299).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 88% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 69%).
- Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 281 flights
Find JetBlue 2725 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · JetBlue 225
8:25 PM → 12:11 AM3h 15m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
74%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 77%
- Cancelled
- 3.1%
- Avg arrival delay
- 17 min
- Arrived on time 77% of the time (309 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.1% of the time (10 of 320).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 69% on time; Before 9 AM: 88%).
- Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 309 flights
Find JetBlue 225 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · Delta 2093
2:40 PM → 5:53 PM3h 09m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
73%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 76%
- Cancelled
- 3.5%
- Avg arrival delay
- 15 min
- Arrived on time 76% of the time (164 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.5% of the time (6 of 170).
- Departs inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Lands inside TPA's trouble window: 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
Moderate track record · 164 flights
Find Delta 2093 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · JetBlue 2825
1:40 PM → 4:40 PM3h 00m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20. Same departure also flew as JetBlue 125; its record covers all of them.
72%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 75%
- Cancelled
- 3.2%
- Avg arrival delay
- 22 min
- Arrived on time 75% of the time (208 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.2% of the time (7 of 221).
- Departs inside JFK's trouble window: 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
- Lands inside TPA's trouble window: 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
Strong track record · 208 flights
Find JetBlue 2825 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · JetBlue 1525
10:05 AM → 1:20 PM3h 15m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-13.
71%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 71%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 7 min
- Arrived on time 71% of the time (14 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Lands inside TPA's trouble window: 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
- Short track record (14 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 14 flights
Find JetBlue 1525 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#8 · Delta 1636
7:59 PM → 11:09 PM3h 19m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
71%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 73%
- Cancelled
- 3.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 26 min
- Arrived on time 73% of the time (353 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.0% of the time (11 of 364).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 69% on time; Before 9 AM: 88%).
- Departs outside JFK's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 66% of its 167 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 353 flights
Find Delta 1636 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Delta Air Lines76%
1,094 flights · 78% on time as flown · 3.0% cancel
- JetBlue73%
1,027 flights · 76% on time as flown · 3.8% cancel
- Frontier Airlines71%
188 flights · 69% on time as flown · 2.0% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM88%
647 flights · avg delay 9 min
- 9 AM to noon76%
267 flights · avg delay 14 min
- Noon to 3 PM74%
438 flights · avg delay 18 min
- 3 to 6 PM73%
333 flights · avg delay 23 min
- 6 to 9 PM69%
622 flights · avg delay 28 min
Best day: Wednesday (81%). Worst: Sunday (66%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
HPN → TPA 89% chance on time
Westchester County Airport to Tampa International Airport · 365 flights a year · 30 mi from your airports · yours: 74%
EWR → SRQ 78% chance on time
Newark Liberty International Airport to Sarasota Bradenton International Airport · 937 flights a year · 61 mi from your airports · yours: 74%
EWR → TPA 78% chance on time
Newark Liberty International Airport to Tampa International Airport · 2,648 flights a year · 21 mi from your airports · yours: 74%
LGA → SRQ 77% chance on time
LaGuardia Airport to Sarasota Bradenton International Airport · 561 flights a year · 51 mi from your airports · yours: 74%
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft37%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)33%
- Air traffic control and airport volume25%
- Severe weather4%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
JFK to TPA questions
- What time of day is best to fly JFK to TPA?
- Before 9 AM: 88% of flights arrived on time, against 69% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from JFK to TPA?
- Delta, with a season-adjusted 76% chance of operating and arriving on time over 1,094 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on JFK to TPA?
- July (65% on time); the best was April (81%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from JFK
- TPA to JFK (return)
- JFK to LAX 78%
- JFK to SFO 75%
- JFK to BOS 73%
- JFK to MCO 73%
- JFK to MIA 76%
- JFK to ATL 76%
- JFK to FLL 72%
- JFK to LAS 80%
- JFK to PHX 78%
- JFK to SEA 68%
- JFK to DCA 67%
- JFK to SAN 79%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops