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Route on-time record

DTW to TPA: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Detroit (Detroit Metropolitan Wayne County Airport) to Tampa (Tampa International Airport). 2,413 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 78% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.8% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 2852 at 7:00 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

DTW → TPA

Detroit to Tampa: 2,413 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

78%

Cancelled

1.8%

avg delay 14 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

84% on time vs 64% after 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Delta

79% chance on time

Check DTW to TPA fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $128 (Frontier 1036 on 2026-11-12). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Delta 2852

    7:00 AM → 9:50 AM2h 39m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    83%
    Cancelled
    1.8%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 83% of the time (167 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 84% on time; After 9 PM: 64%).
    • Departs outside DTW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 167 flights

    Find Delta 2852 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Delta 2587

    10:10 AM → 12:00 PM2h 37m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    82%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    80%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    13 min
    • Arrived on time 80% of the time (165 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 165 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside DTW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside TPA's trouble window: 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Moderate track record · 165 flights

    Find Delta 2587 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Delta 2858

    12:20 PM → 2:58 PM2h 38m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-06.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    80%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    13 min
    • Arrived on time 80% of the time (122 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 122 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside DTW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside TPA's trouble window: 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Moderate track record · 122 flights

    Find Delta 2858 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Delta 1243

    2:19 PM → 4:54 PM2h 35m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    80%
    Cancelled
    1.9%
    Avg arrival delay
    13 min
    • Arrived on time 80% of the time (312 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside DTW's trouble window: 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Lands inside TPA's trouble window: 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Strong track record · 312 flights

    Find Delta 1243 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Delta 1172

    6:19 PM → 8:56 PM2h 37m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-12.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    77%
    Cancelled
    2.8%
    Avg arrival delay
    16 min
    • Arrived on time 77% of the time (35 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside DTW's trouble window: 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 56% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (35 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 35 flights

    Find Delta 1172 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Delta 703

    8:20 AM → 11:05 AM2h 45m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-12.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    78%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 78% of the time (36 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 36 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 84% on time; After 9 PM: 64%).
    • Departs outside DTW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 36 flights

    Find Delta 703 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · Frontier 2686

    4:40 PM → 7:27 PM2h 47m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-17.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    76%
    Cancelled
    2.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    25 min
    • Arrived on time 76% of the time (50 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside DTW's trouble window: 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 71% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (50 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 50 flights

    Find Frontier 2686 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · Spirit 1625

    5:45 AM → 8:17 AM2h 32m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-01.

    74%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    60%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    10 min
    • Arrived on time 60% of the time (10 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 84% on time; After 9 PM: 64%).
    • Departs outside DTW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (10 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 10 flights

    Find Spirit 1625 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · Spirit 2021

    10:05 AM → 12:43 PM2h 38m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-14.

    71%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    72%
    Cancelled
    10.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    16 min
    • Arrived on time 72% of the time (99 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 10.7% of the time (12 of 112).
    • Departs outside DTW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside TPA's trouble window: 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Moderate track record · 99 flights

    Find Spirit 2021 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  10. #10 · Delta 1355

    9:15 PM → 11:53 PM2h 38m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    70%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    71%
    Cancelled
    1.2%
    Avg arrival delay
    21 min
    • Arrived on time 71% of the time (333 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (After 9 PM: 64% on time; Before 9 AM: 84%).
    • Departs outside DTW's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 64% of its 28 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 333 flights

    Find Delta 1355 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Delta Air Lines79%

    1,716 flights · 80% on time as flown · 1.3% cancel

  • Frontier Airlines74%

    115 flights · 70% on time as flown · 1.4% cancel

  • Spirit Airlines74%

    577 flights · 75% on time as flown · 3.1% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM84%

    638 flights · avg delay 10 min

  • 9 AM to noon81%

    443 flights · avg delay 11 min

  • Noon to 3 PM79%

    504 flights · avg delay 13 min

  • 3 to 6 PM81%

    206 flights · avg delay 15 min

  • 6 to 9 PM73%

    429 flights · avg delay 20 min

  • After 9 PM64%

    193 flights · avg delay 24 min

Best day: Tuesday (85%). Worst: Sunday (74%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
66
F
80
M
74
A
82
M
82
J
78
J
72
A
81
S
92
O
90
N
86
D
73

What delays this route

  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)42%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume27%
  • Late-arriving aircraft26%
  • Severe weather5%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

DTW to TPA questions

What time of day is best to fly DTW to TPA?
Before 9 AM: 84% of flights arrived on time, against 64% for departures after 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from DTW to TPA?
Delta, with a season-adjusted 79% chance of operating and arriving on time over 1,716 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on DTW to TPA?
January (66% on time); the best was September (92%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from DTW

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops