Route on-time record
ROC to MCO: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Rochester (Frederick Douglass Greater Rochester International Airport) to Orlando (Orlando International Airport). 492 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 68% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.0% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was JetBlue 1043 at 4:10 PM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
ROC → MCO
Rochester to Orlando: 492 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
68%
Cancelled
1.0%
avg delay 24 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
85% on time vs 61% 3 to 6 PM
Most reliable airline
JetBlue
74% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $217 (JetBlue 1043 on 2026-10-22). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · JetBlue 1043
4:10 PM → 7:05 PM2h 55m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
78%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 82%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 17 min
- Arrived on time 82% of the time (49 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 49 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 61% on time; Before 9 AM: 85%).
- Short track record (49 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 49 flights
Find JetBlue 1043 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Southwest 1466
4:45 PM → 7:40 PM2h 55m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
59%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 50%
- Cancelled
- 4.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 21 min
- Arrived on time 50% of the time (22 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 61% on time; Before 9 AM: 85%).
- 66% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (22 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 22 flights
Find Southwest 1466 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Southwest 2759
5:10 PM → 7:55 PM2h 45m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-29.
57%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 54%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 25 min
- Arrived on time 54% of the time (39 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 39 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 61% on time; Before 9 AM: 85%).
- 76% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Limited track record · 39 flights
Find Southwest 2759 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Southwest 2801
4:35 PM → 7:20 PM2h 45m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.
56%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 14%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 46 min
- Arrived on time 14% of the time (7 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 61% on time; Before 9 AM: 85%).
- 82% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (7 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 7 flights
Find Southwest 2801 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- JetBlue74%
49 flights · 82% on time as flown · 0.8% cancel
- Spirit Airlines69%
146 flights · 72% on time as flown · 1.5% cancel
- Southwest Airlines64%
297 flights · 63% on time as flown · 0.8% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM85%
59 flights · avg delay 11 min
- Noon to 3 PM71%
128 flights · avg delay 25 min
- 3 to 6 PM61%
229 flights · avg delay 25 min
- 6 to 9 PM63%
49 flights · avg delay 39 min
Best day: Monday (80%). Worst: Saturday (71%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
BUF → MCO 75% chance on time
Buffalo Niagara International Airport to Orlando International Airport · 1,770 flights a year · 55 mi from your airports · yours: 67%
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft48%
- Air traffic control and airport volume27%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)23%
- Severe weather3%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
ROC to MCO questions
- What time of day is best to fly ROC to MCO?
- Before 9 AM: 85% of flights arrived on time, against 61% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from ROC to MCO?
- JetBlue, with a season-adjusted 74% chance of operating and arriving on time over 49 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on ROC to MCO?
- January (66% on time); the best was September (88%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from ROC
- MCO to ROC (return)
- ROC to ORD 74%
- ROC to BWI 83%
- ROC to DCA 68%
- ROC to ATL 80%
- ROC to CLT 81%
- ROC to JFK 82%
- ROC to EWR 81%
- ROC to DTW 78%
- ROC to MDW 82%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops