Route on-time record
ROC to DTW: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Rochester (Frederick Douglass Greater Rochester International Airport) to Detroit (Detroit Metropolitan Wayne County Airport). 474 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 78% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.1% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was SkyWest 4093 at 10:09 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
ROC → DTW
Rochester to Detroit: 474 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
78%
Cancelled
2.1%
avg delay 24 min
Best time to leave
9 AM to noon
86% on time vs 73% noon to 3 PM
Most reliable airline
Delta
78% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · SkyWest 4093 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
10:09 AM → 11:30 AM1h 21m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-12.
84%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 90%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 7 min
- Arrived on time 90% of the time (31 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 31 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 86% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 73%).
- Short track record (31 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 31 flights
Find 10:09 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · SkyWest 4081 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
6:00 AM → 7:26 AM1h 26m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-12.
76%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 80%
- Cancelled
- 2.8%
- Avg arrival delay
- 26 min
- Arrived on time 80% of the time (35 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Short track record (35 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 35 flights
Find 6:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Delta Air Lines78%
62 flights · 78% on time as flown · 2.4% cancel
- SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)76%
412 flights · 78% on time as flown · 2.0% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM79%
100 flights · avg delay 25 min
- 9 AM to noon86%
127 flights · avg delay 16 min
- Noon to 3 PM73%
236 flights · avg delay 28 min
Best day: Saturday (89%). Worst: Sunday (81%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
BUF → DTW 80% chance on time
Buffalo Niagara International Airport to Detroit Metropolitan Wayne County Airport · 1,006 flights a year · 55 mi from your airports · yours: 76%
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)67%
- Severe weather21%
- Air traffic control and airport volume12%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
ROC to DTW questions
- What time of day is best to fly ROC to DTW?
- 9 AM to noon: 86% of flights arrived on time, against 73% for departures noon to 3 PM.
- Which airline is most on time from ROC to DTW?
- Delta, with a season-adjusted 78% chance of operating and arriving on time over 62 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on ROC to DTW?
- January (67% on time); the best was November (94%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from ROC
- DTW to ROC (return)
- ROC to ORD 74%
- ROC to BWI 83%
- ROC to DCA 68%
- ROC to ATL 80%
- ROC to CLT 81%
- ROC to JFK 82%
- ROC to EWR 81%
- ROC to MCO 68%
- ROC to MDW 82%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops