Route on-time record
ROC to EWR: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Rochester (Frederick Douglass Greater Rochester International Airport) to Newark (Newark Liberty International Airport). 567 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 81% arrived within 15 minutes and 6.0% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Republic 3538 at 6:49 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
ROC → EWR
Rochester to Newark: 567 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
81%
Cancelled
6.0%
avg delay 16 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
89% on time vs 73% noon to 3 PM
Most reliable airline
Republic
76% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $172 (United 3463 on 2026-11-12). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Republic 3538 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
6:49 AM → 8:13 AM1h 24m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
83%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 95%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 6 min
- Arrived on time 95% of the time (20 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 73%).
- Short track record (20 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 20 flights
Find 6:49 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Republic 3626 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
6:00 AM → 7:20 AM1h 20m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
81%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 100%
- Cancelled
- 11.1%
- Avg arrival delay
- 0 min
- Arrived on time 100% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 89% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 73%).
- Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 8 flights
Find 6:00 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Republic 3580 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
6:11 PM → 7:35 PM1h 24m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
77%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 86%
- Cancelled
- 3.4%
- Avg arrival delay
- 13 min
- Arrived on time 86% of the time (28 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Short track record (28 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 28 flights
Find 6:11 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Republic 3599 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
6:05 PM → 7:28 PM1h 23m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-29.
77%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 81%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 21 min
- Arrived on time 81% of the time (36 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 36 scheduled flights.
- 71% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (36 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 36 flights
Find 6:05 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · Republic 3415 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
2:25 PM → 3:49 PM1h 24m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
67%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 73%
- Cancelled
- 8.6%
- Avg arrival delay
- 19 min
- Arrived on time 73% of the time (246 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 8.6% of the time (23 of 269).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 73% on time; Before 9 AM: 89%).
- Lands inside EWR's trouble window: 65% of its 259 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
Strong track record · 246 flights
Find 2:25 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)76%
538 flights · 81% on time as flown · 6.2% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM89%
219 flights · avg delay 13 min
- Noon to 3 PM73%
276 flights · avg delay 20 min
- 6 to 9 PM85%
48 flights · avg delay 7 min
Best day: Tuesday (88%). Worst: Sunday (83%).
Smarter routing
Nearby airports that run more on time
BUF → EWR 85% chance on time
Buffalo Niagara International Airport to Newark Liberty International Airport · 399 flights a year · 55 mi from your airports · yours: 76%
ROC → JFK 79% chance on time
Frederick Douglass Greater Rochester International Airport to John F. Kennedy International Airport · 600 flights a year · 21 mi from your airports · yours: 76%
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft43%
- Air traffic control and airport volume31%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)26%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
ROC to EWR questions
- What time of day is best to fly ROC to EWR?
- Before 9 AM: 89% of flights arrived on time, against 73% for departures noon to 3 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from ROC to EWR?
- Republic, with a season-adjusted 76% chance of operating and arriving on time over 538 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on ROC to EWR?
- January (76% on time); the best was August (93%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from ROC
- EWR to ROC (return)
- ROC to ORD 74%
- ROC to BWI 83%
- ROC to DCA 68%
- ROC to ATL 80%
- ROC to CLT 81%
- ROC to JFK 82%
- ROC to MCO 68%
- ROC to DTW 78%
- ROC to MDW 82%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops