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Route on-time record

XNA to PHX: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Fayetteville/Springdale/Rogers (Northwest Arkansas National Airport) to Phoenix (Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport). 830 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 87% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.4% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Envoy 4033 at 8:20 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

XNA → PHX

Fayetteville/Springdale/Rogers to Phoenix: 830 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

87%

Cancelled

0.4%

avg delay 9 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

90% on time vs 83% noon to 3 PM

Most reliable airline

Envoy

87% chance on time

Check XNA to PHX fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Envoy 4033 · sold as American Eagle

    8:20 AM → 9:22 AM3h 02m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    90%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    91%
    Cancelled
    0.6%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 91% of the time (361 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 90% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 83%).

    Strong track record · 361 flights

    Find 8:20 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Envoy 4165 · sold as American Eagle

    2:12 PM → 3:17 PM3h 05m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    89%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    94%
    Cancelled
    1.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    3 min
    • Arrived on time 94% of the time (66 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 83% on time; Before 9 AM: 90%).
    • Lands inside PHX's trouble window: 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.

    Moderate track record · 66 flights

    Find 2:12 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Envoy 3959 · sold as American Eagle

    5:54 PM → 7:00 PM3h 06m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    89%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    93%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 93% of the time (30 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 30 scheduled flights.
    • Lands inside PHX's trouble window: 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • Short track record (30 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 30 flights

    Find 5:54 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Envoy 4054 · sold as American Eagle

    5:42 PM → 6:40 PM2h 58m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    85%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    84%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 84% of the time (37 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 37 scheduled flights.
    • Lands inside PHX's trouble window: 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • Short track record (37 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 37 flights

    Find 5:42 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Envoy 4289 · sold as American Eagle

    2:02 PM → 3:00 PM2h 58m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    83%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    82%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    13 min
    • Arrived on time 82% of the time (167 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 167 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 83% on time; Before 9 AM: 90%).
    • Lands inside PHX's trouble window: 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.

    Moderate track record · 167 flights

    Find 2:02 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · American 3233

    2:25 PM → 3:28 PM3h 03m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    78%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    19 min
    • Arrived on time 78% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 83% on time; Before 9 AM: 90%).
    • Lands inside PHX's trouble window: 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 9 flights

    Find American 3233 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)87%

    727 flights · 88% on time as flown · 0.4% cancel

  • American Airlines83%

    101 flights · 79% on time as flown · 0.2% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM90%

    366 flights · avg delay 9 min

  • Noon to 3 PM83%

    316 flights · avg delay 11 min

  • 3 to 6 PM86%

    145 flights · avg delay 7 min

Best day: Wednesday (93%). Worst: Sunday (84%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
86
F
92
M
92
A
86
M
84
J
85
J
87
A
89
S
88
O
88
N
87
D
89

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft58%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)15%
  • Severe weather14%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume13%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

XNA to PHX questions

What time of day is best to fly XNA to PHX?
Before 9 AM: 90% of flights arrived on time, against 83% for departures noon to 3 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from XNA to PHX?
Envoy, with a season-adjusted 87% chance of operating and arriving on time over 727 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on XNA to PHX?
May (84% on time); the best was March (92%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from XNA

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops