Route on-time record
XNA to ORD: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Fayetteville/Springdale/Rogers (Northwest Arkansas National Airport) to Chicago (Chicago O'Hare International Airport). 1,748 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 75% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.5% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was SkyWest 5332 at 7:45 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
XNA → ORD
Fayetteville/Springdale/Rogers to Chicago: 1,748 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
75%
Cancelled
1.5%
avg delay 20 min
Best time to leave
9 AM to noon
84% on time vs 58% 6 to 9 PM
Most reliable airline
Republic
76% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · SkyWest 5332 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
7:45 AM → 9:50 AM2h 05m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-03-28.
82%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 90%
- Cancelled
- 4.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 7 min
- Arrived on time 90% of the time (21 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Short track record (21 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 21 flights
Find 7:45 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Envoy 4088 · sold as American Eagle
7:05 AM → 9:09 AM2h 04m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Envoy 3948; its record covers all of them.
82%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 82%
- Cancelled
- 0.8%
- Avg arrival delay
- 23 min
- Arrived on time 82% of the time (369 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
Strong track record · 369 flights
Find 7:05 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Republic 3616 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
7:50 AM → 9:49 AM1h 59m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20. Same departure also flew as Republic 3538; its record covers all of them.
81%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 84%
- Cancelled
- 1.9%
- Avg arrival delay
- 6 min
- Arrived on time 84% of the time (51 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Short track record (51 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 51 flights
Find 7:50 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Envoy 3839 · sold as American Eagle
9:16 AM → 11:13 AM1h 57m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Envoy 4162; its record covers all of them.
81%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 83%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 22 min
- Arrived on time 83% of the time (54 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 55 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 84% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 58%).
- Short track record (54 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 54 flights
Find 9:16 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · Envoy 4183 · sold as American Eagle
9:53 AM → 11:46 AM1h 53m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
79%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 79%
- Cancelled
- 1.9%
- Avg arrival delay
- 17 min
- Arrived on time 79% of the time (53 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 84% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 58%).
- Short track record (53 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 53 flights
Find 9:53 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · Envoy 3906 · sold as American Eagle
4:08 PM → 6:16 PM2h 08m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
77%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 80%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 14 min
- Arrived on time 80% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- Short track record (44 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 44 flights
Find 4:08 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · Republic 3551 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
3:03 PM → 5:00 PM1h 57m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20. Same departure also flew as Republic 3467; its record covers all of them.
73%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 74%
- Cancelled
- 4.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 23 min
- Arrived on time 74% of the time (43 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 4.3% of the time (2 of 46).
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- Short track record (43 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 43 flights
Find 3:03 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#8 · Envoy 3941 · sold as American Eagle
2:19 PM → 4:21 PM2h 02m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
72%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 80%
- Cancelled
- 2.4%
- Avg arrival delay
- 26 min
- Arrived on time 80% of the time (40 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- 52% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (40 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 40 flights
Find 2:19 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#9 · Envoy 3695 · sold as American Eagle
12:59 PM → 2:58 PM1h 59m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
71%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 67%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 28 min
- Arrived on time 67% of the time (21 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- Short track record (21 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 21 flights
Find 12:59 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#10 · Envoy 3848 · sold as American Eagle
2:11 PM → 4:14 PM2h 03m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
69%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 82%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 14 min
- Arrived on time 82% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Lands inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find 2:11 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)76%
134 flights · 80% on time as flown · 1.9% cancel
- Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)74%
1,545 flights · 75% on time as flown · 1.5% cancel
- SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)73%
57 flights · 73% on time as flown · 1.6% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM83%
565 flights · avg delay 18 min
- 9 AM to noon84%
362 flights · avg delay 12 min
- Noon to 3 PM67%
276 flights · avg delay 25 min
- 3 to 6 PM74%
230 flights · avg delay 21 min
- 6 to 9 PM58%
313 flights · avg delay 27 min
Best day: Saturday (83%). Worst: Wednesday (79%).
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft44%
- Air traffic control and airport volume28%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)18%
- Severe weather9%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
XNA to ORD questions
- What time of day is best to fly XNA to ORD?
- 9 AM to noon: 84% of flights arrived on time, against 58% for departures 6 to 9 PM.
- Which airline is most on time from XNA to ORD?
- Republic, with a season-adjusted 76% chance of operating and arriving on time over 134 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on XNA to ORD?
- July (70% on time); the best was October (86%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from XNA
- ORD to XNA (return)
- XNA to DFW 79%
- XNA to CLT 85%
- XNA to DEN 78%
- XNA to ATL 84%
- XNA to LGA 76%
- XNA to PHX 87%
- XNA to PHL 82%
- XNA to LAX 82%
- XNA to DCA 93%
- XNA to SLC 89%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops