Route on-time record
XNA to DEN: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Fayetteville/Springdale/Rogers (Northwest Arkansas National Airport) to Denver (Denver International Airport). 1,245 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 78% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.9% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was SkyWest 5812 at 1:34 PM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
XNA → DEN
Fayetteville/Springdale/Rogers to Denver: 1,245 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
78%
Cancelled
0.9%
avg delay 19 min
Best time to leave
Noon to 3 PM
88% on time vs 66% 6 to 9 PM
Most reliable airline
United
80% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · SkyWest 5812 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
1:34 PM → 2:48 PM2h 16m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
89%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 93%
- Cancelled
- 1.4%
- Avg arrival delay
- 6 min
- Arrived on time 93% of the time (214 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 88% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 66%).
- Lands inside DEN's trouble window: 79% of its 174 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
Strong track record · 214 flights
Find 1:34 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · SkyWest 5969 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
5:50 AM → 6:57 AM2h 07m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
81%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 91%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 9 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find 5:50 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · United 1940
9:05 AM → 10:16 AM2h 11m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as United 2368; its record covers all of them.
79%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 81%
- Cancelled
- 0.9%
- Avg arrival delay
- 11 min
- Arrived on time 81% of the time (108 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
Moderate track record · 108 flights
Find United 1940 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Frontier 1091
4:13 PM → 5:24 PM2h 11m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-04.
77%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 83%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 15 min
- Arrived on time 83% of the time (36 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 36 scheduled flights.
- Lands inside DEN's trouble window: 79% of its 174 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
- 62% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Limited track record · 36 flights
Find Frontier 1091 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · Frontier 4343
2:27 PM → 3:59 PM2h 32m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
72%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 69%
- Cancelled
- 1.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 32 min
- Arrived on time 69% of the time (102 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 88% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 66%).
- Lands inside DEN's trouble window: 79% of its 174 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
Moderate track record · 102 flights
Find Frontier 4343 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · SkyWest 5694 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
5:12 PM → 6:25 PM2h 16m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
69%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 69%
- Cancelled
- 0.6%
- Avg arrival delay
- 32 min
- Arrived on time 69% of the time (319 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Lands inside DEN's trouble window: 79% of its 174 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
Strong track record · 319 flights
Find 5:12 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- United Airlines80%
369 flights · 81% on time as flown · 1.2% cancel
- SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)77%
737 flights · 78% on time as flown · 0.7% cancel
- Frontier Airlines74%
139 flights · 72% on time as flown · 0.8% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- 9 AM to noon81%
364 flights · avg delay 12 min
- Noon to 3 PM88%
389 flights · avg delay 13 min
- 3 to 6 PM68%
383 flights · avg delay 31 min
- 6 to 9 PM66%
96 flights · avg delay 22 min
Best day: Thursday (80%). Worst: Monday (76%).
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Air traffic control and airport volume38%
- Late-arriving aircraft29%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)27%
- Severe weather7%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
XNA to DEN questions
- What time of day is best to fly XNA to DEN?
- Noon to 3 PM: 88% of flights arrived on time, against 66% for departures 6 to 9 PM.
- Which airline is most on time from XNA to DEN?
- United, with a season-adjusted 80% chance of operating and arriving on time over 369 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on XNA to DEN?
- July (66% on time); the best was November (88%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from XNA
- DEN to XNA (return)
- XNA to DFW 79%
- XNA to ORD 75%
- XNA to CLT 85%
- XNA to ATL 84%
- XNA to LGA 76%
- XNA to PHX 87%
- XNA to PHL 82%
- XNA to LAX 82%
- XNA to DCA 93%
- XNA to SLC 89%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops