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Route on-time record

PHX to XNA: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Phoenix (Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport) to Fayetteville/Springdale/Rogers (Northwest Arkansas National Airport). 827 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 86% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.4% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Envoy 4078 at 12:46 PM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

PHX → XNA

Phoenix to Fayetteville/Springdale/Rogers: 827 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

86%

Cancelled

0.4%

avg delay 8 min

Best time to leave

Noon to 3 PM

92% on time vs 84% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

Envoy

86% chance on time

Check PHX to XNA fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Envoy 4078 · sold as American Eagle

    12:46 PM → 5:24 PM2h 38m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    90%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    93%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 93% of the time (54 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 54 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 92% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 84%).
    • Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 54 flights

    Find 12:46 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Envoy 4165 · sold as American Eagle

    8:52 AM → 1:36 PM2h 41m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    89%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    90%
    Cancelled
    0.4%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 90% of the time (255 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 255 flights

    Find 8:52 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Envoy 3619 · sold as American Eagle

    12:21 PM → 5:02 PM2h 41m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    88%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    89%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    14 min
    • Arrived on time 89% of the time (37 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 37 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 92% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 84%).
    • Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 37 flights

    Find 12:21 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Envoy 4086 · sold as American Eagle

    4:10 PM → 8:49 PM2h 39m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    83%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    84%
    Cancelled
    0.6%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 84% of the time (354 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 84% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 92%).
    • Departs inside PHX's trouble window: 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.

    Strong track record · 354 flights

    Find 4:10 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · American 3233

    8:53 AM → 1:36 PM2h 43m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    82%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    67%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    10 min
    • Arrived on time 67% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside PHX's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 43% of its 46 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 9 flights

    Find American 3233 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)86%

    724 flights · 87% on time as flown · 0.4% cancel

  • American Airlines82%

    101 flights · 79% on time as flown · 0.2% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM89%

    209 flights · avg delay 6 min

  • 9 AM to noon84%

    153 flights · avg delay 7 min

  • Noon to 3 PM92%

    107 flights · avg delay 8 min

  • 3 to 6 PM84%

    355 flights · avg delay 9 min

Best day: Wednesday (90%). Worst: Thursday (83%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
84
F
90
M
86
A
89
M
79
J
78
J
82
A
85
S
87
O
86
N
90
D
88

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft58%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)30%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume12%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

PHX to XNA questions

What time of day is best to fly PHX to XNA?
Noon to 3 PM: 92% of flights arrived on time, against 84% for departures 3 to 6 PM.
Which airline is most on time from PHX to XNA?
Envoy, with a season-adjusted 86% chance of operating and arriving on time over 724 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on PHX to XNA?
June (78% on time); the best was November (90%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from PHX

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops