Route on-time record
XNA to LGA: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Fayetteville/Springdale/Rogers (Northwest Arkansas National Airport) to New York (LaGuardia Airport). 853 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 76% arrived within 15 minutes and 4.6% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Republic 4591 at 11:51 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
XNA → LGA
Fayetteville/Springdale/Rogers to New York: 853 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
76%
Cancelled
4.6%
avg delay 23 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
84% on time vs 67% 3 to 6 PM
Most reliable airline
Republic
72% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Republic 4591 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
11:51 AM → 4:00 PM3h 09m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
82%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 92%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 6 min
- Arrived on time 92% of the time (38 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 38 scheduled flights.
- Lands inside LGA's trouble window: 54% of its 285 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
- Short track record (38 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 38 flights
Find 11:51 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Republic 4695 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
6:10 AM → 10:19 AM3h 09m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-29.
80%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 84%
- Cancelled
- 4.2%
- Avg arrival delay
- 14 min
- Arrived on time 84% of the time (295 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 4.2% of the time (13 of 308).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 84% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 67%).
Strong track record · 295 flights
Find 6:10 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Republic 4540 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
3:48 PM → 7:59 PM3h 11m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
75%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 87%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 8 min
- Arrived on time 87% of the time (38 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 38 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 67% on time; Before 9 AM: 84%).
- Short track record (38 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 38 flights
Find 3:48 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Republic 4620 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
9:54 AM → 2:00 PM3h 06m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
73%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 78%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 16 min
- Arrived on time 78% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Lands inside LGA's trouble window: 54% of its 285 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
- 53% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
- Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 9 flights
Find 9:54 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · Republic 4524 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
2:37 PM → 6:44 PM3h 07m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
71%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 70%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 20 min
- Arrived on time 70% of the time (10 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Short track record (10 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 10 flights
Find 2:37 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · Republic 4472 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
3:20 PM → 7:17 PM2h 57m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
65%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 68%
- Cancelled
- 6.1%
- Avg arrival delay
- 39 min
- Arrived on time 68% of the time (199 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 6.1% of the time (13 of 214).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 67% on time; Before 9 AM: 84%).
- 52% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
Moderate track record · 199 flights
Find 3:20 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · Republic 4548 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
12:19 PM → 4:15 PM2h 56m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
64%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 56%
- Cancelled
- 10.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 31 min
- Arrived on time 56% of the time (27 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 10.0% of the time (3 of 30).
- Lands inside LGA's trouble window: 54% of its 285 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
- Short track record (27 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 27 flights
Find 12:19 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)72%
853 flights · 76% on time as flown · 4.6% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM84%
292 flights · avg delay 14 min
- 9 AM to noon82%
146 flights · avg delay 14 min
- Noon to 3 PM69%
119 flights · avg delay 26 min
- 3 to 6 PM67%
296 flights · avg delay 36 min
Best day: Wednesday (85%). Worst: Sunday (80%).
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft40%
- Air traffic control and airport volume35%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)17%
- Severe weather8%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
XNA to LGA questions
- What time of day is best to fly XNA to LGA?
- Before 9 AM: 84% of flights arrived on time, against 67% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from XNA to LGA?
- Republic, with a season-adjusted 72% chance of operating and arriving on time over 853 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on XNA to LGA?
- March (70% on time); the best was October (88%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from XNA
- LGA to XNA (return)
- XNA to DFW 79%
- XNA to ORD 75%
- XNA to CLT 85%
- XNA to DEN 78%
- XNA to ATL 84%
- XNA to PHX 87%
- XNA to PHL 82%
- XNA to LAX 82%
- XNA to DCA 93%
- XNA to SLC 89%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops