Skip to content

All Products

Aviation Intelligence

Alerts & Airspace

Free Pilot Tools & Widgets

RC Aviation

Games & Learning

Weather Research & More

Pilot Resources

My Airports

Your shortcuts, saved on this device. Search to add an airport.

No airports saved yet. Add the fields you visit most.

Ask ATIS

Route on-time record

ORD to XNA: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Chicago (Chicago O'Hare International Airport) to Fayetteville/Springdale/Rogers (Northwest Arkansas National Airport). 1,745 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 76% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.8% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Envoy 4162 at 6:40 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

ORD → XNA

Chicago to Fayetteville/Springdale/Rogers: 1,745 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

76%

Cancelled

1.8%

avg delay 16 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

88% on time vs 67% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

Republic

77% chance on time

Check ORD to XNA fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $249 (United 4403 on 2026-10-26). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Envoy 4162 · sold as American Eagle

    6:40 AM → 8:43 AM2h 03m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    88%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    93%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    3 min
    • Arrived on time 93% of the time (43 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 88% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 67%).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 43 flights

    Find 6:40 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Envoy 3839 · sold as American Eagle

    6:46 AM → 8:46 AM2h 00m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    85%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    91%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    3 min
    • Arrived on time 91% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 88% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 67%).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find 6:46 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Envoy 3848 · sold as American Eagle

    11:40 AM → 1:41 PM2h 01m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as Envoy 3941; its record covers all of them.

    81%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    86%
    Cancelled
    2.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 86% of the time (71 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 71 flights

    Find 11:40 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Envoy 4183 · sold as American Eagle

    7:20 AM → 9:20 AM2h 00m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    80%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    81%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 81% of the time (52 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 53 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 88% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 67%).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 52 flights

    Find 7:20 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Republic 3652 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    12:17 PM → 2:22 PM2h 05m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20. Same departure also flew as Republic 3593; its record covers all of them.

    78%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    83%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    11 min
    • Arrived on time 83% of the time (46 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 46 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (46 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 46 flights

    Find 12:17 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Envoy 3906 · sold as American Eagle

    1:36 PM → 3:38 PM2h 02m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    78%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    82%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 82% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (44 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 44 flights

    Find 1:36 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · Republic 3662 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    7:52 PM → 10:04 PM2h 12m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-19. Same departure also flew as Republic 3527; its record covers all of them.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    81%
    Cancelled
    10.2%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 81% of the time (43 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 10.2% of the time (5 of 49).
    • Departs inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • Short track record (43 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 43 flights

    Find 7:52 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · Envoy 3960 · sold as American Eagle

    10:15 PM → 12:14 AM1h 59m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    75%
    Cancelled
    3.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    32 min
    • Arrived on time 75% of the time (64 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 64 flights

    Find 10:15 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · Envoy 3772 · sold as American Eagle

    2:47 PM → 4:45 PM1h 58m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    74%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    70%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    24 min
    • Arrived on time 70% of the time (30 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 30 scheduled flights.
    • Departs inside ORD's trouble window: 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started between 2 PM and 8 PM.
    • Short track record (30 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 30 flights

    Find 2:47 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  10. #10 · Envoy 3695 · sold as American Eagle

    10:28 AM → 12:29 PM2h 01m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    72%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    67%
    Cancelled
    4.5%
    Avg arrival delay
    20 min
    • Arrived on time 67% of the time (21 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside ORD's trouble window (2 PM to 8 PM, when 44% of its 243 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 51% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (21 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 21 flights

    Find 10:28 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)77%

    134 flights · 82% on time as flown · 2.7% cancel

  • Envoy Air (sold as American Eagle)75%

    1,542 flights · 76% on time as flown · 1.5% cancel

  • SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)69%

    57 flights · 63% on time as flown · 2.7% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM88%

    335 flights · avg delay 6 min

  • 9 AM to noon80%

    215 flights · avg delay 14 min

  • Noon to 3 PM78%

    281 flights · avg delay 14 min

  • 3 to 6 PM67%

    349 flights · avg delay 21 min

  • 6 to 9 PM73%

    440 flights · avg delay 21 min

  • After 9 PM72%

    125 flights · avg delay 26 min

Best day: Tuesday (82%). Worst: Thursday (76%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
70
F
78
M
77
A
80
M
77
J
77
J
70
A
81
S
86
O
86
N
84
D
77

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft46%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume23%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)16%
  • Severe weather15%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from ORD to XNA…

ORD to XNA questions

What time of day is best to fly ORD to XNA?
Before 9 AM: 88% of flights arrived on time, against 67% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from ORD to XNA?
Republic, with a season-adjusted 77% chance of operating and arriving on time over 134 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on ORD to XNA?
July (70% on time); the best was October (86%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from ORD

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops