Route on-time record
LGA to XNA: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
New York (LaGuardia Airport) to Fayetteville/Springdale/Rogers (Northwest Arkansas National Airport). 853 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 74% arrived within 15 minutes and 5.6% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Republic 4591 at 8:47 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
LGA → XNA
New York to Fayetteville/Springdale/Rogers: 853 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
74%
Cancelled
5.6%
avg delay 20 min
Best time to leave
Before 9 AM
86% on time vs 59% 6 to 9 PM
Most reliable airline
Republic
69% chance on time
Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $443 (American 4606 on 2026-10-26). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Republic 4591 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
8:47 AM → 11:20 AM3h 33m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
79%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 91%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 4 min
- Arrived on time 91% of the time (32 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 32 scheduled flights.
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 86% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 59%).
- Departs outside LGA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 54% of its 285 ground stops and delay programs started).
Limited track record · 32 flights
Find 8:47 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Republic 4620 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
6:56 AM → 9:23 AM3h 27m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
77%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 89%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 9 min
- Arrived on time 89% of the time (9 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 86% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 59%).
- Departs outside LGA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 54% of its 285 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (9 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 9 flights
Find 6:56 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Republic 4540 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
12:29 PM → 3:06 PM3h 37m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.
76%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 86%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 7 min
- Arrived on time 86% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
- Departs inside LGA's trouble window: 54% of its 285 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
- Short track record (44 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 44 flights
Find 12:29 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Republic 4472 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
12:13 PM → 2:50 PM3h 37m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
73%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 77%
- Cancelled
- 3.5%
- Avg arrival delay
- 19 min
- Arrived on time 77% of the time (216 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.5% of the time (8 of 227).
- Departs inside LGA's trouble window: 54% of its 285 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
Strong track record · 216 flights
Find 12:13 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#5 · Republic 4548 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
9:10 AM → 11:45 AM3h 35m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.
73%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 79%
- Cancelled
- 3.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 8 min
- Arrived on time 79% of the time (29 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 3.3% of the time (1 of 30).
- Departs outside LGA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 54% of its 285 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (29 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 29 flights
Find 9:10 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#6 · Republic 4524 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
11:40 AM → 2:07 PM3h 27m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
69%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 73%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 7 min
- Arrived on time 73% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Departs outside LGA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 54% of its 285 ground stops and delay programs started).
- Short track record (11 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 11 flights
Find 11:40 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#7 · Republic 4554 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express
7:59 PM → 10:34 PM3h 35m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
58%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 63%
- Cancelled
- 9.3%
- Avg arrival delay
- 30 min
- Arrived on time 63% of the time (257 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Cancelled 9.3% of the time (27 of 291).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 59% on time; Before 9 AM: 86%).
- Departs outside LGA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 54% of its 285 ground stops and delay programs started).
Strong track record · 257 flights
Find 7:59 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Republic Airways (sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express)69%
853 flights · 74% on time as flown · 5.6% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM86%
181 flights · avg delay 7 min
- 9 AM to noon74%
79 flights · avg delay 16 min
- Noon to 3 PM76%
299 flights · avg delay 19 min
- 3 to 6 PM79%
49 flights · avg delay 14 min
- 6 to 9 PM59%
244 flights · avg delay 33 min
Best day: Saturday (87%). Worst: Sunday (74%).
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Late-arriving aircraft49%
- Air traffic control and airport volume26%
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)18%
- Severe weather6%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
LGA to XNA questions
- What time of day is best to fly LGA to XNA?
- Before 9 AM: 86% of flights arrived on time, against 59% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
- Which airline is most on time from LGA to XNA?
- Republic, with a season-adjusted 69% chance of operating and arriving on time over 853 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on LGA to XNA?
- December (71% on time); the best was September (89%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from LGA
- XNA to LGA (return)
- LGA to ORD 67%
- LGA to ATL 76%
- LGA to BOS 73%
- LGA to DFW 70%
- LGA to MIA 70%
- LGA to MCO 69%
- LGA to DCA 68%
- LGA to DEN 71%
- LGA to FLL 68%
- LGA to CLT 77%
- LGA to IAH 76%
- LGA to DTW 78%
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops