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Route on-time record

TPA to PVD: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Tampa (Tampa International Airport) to Providence/Warwick (Rhode Island T. F. Green International Airport). 518 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 73% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.6% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 440 at 2:00 PM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

TPA → PVD

Tampa to Providence/Warwick: 518 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

73%

Cancelled

0.6%

avg delay 20 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

93% on time vs 51% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

JetBlue

75% chance on time

Check TPA to PVD fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Southwest 440

    2:00 PM → 4:50 PM2h 50m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    71%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    73%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    46 min
    • Arrived on time 73% of the time (15 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside TPA's trouble window: 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
    • 82% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (15 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 15 flights

    Find Southwest 440 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Southwest 2690

    7:55 PM → 10:45 PM2h 50m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    69%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    65%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    25 min
    • Arrived on time 65% of the time (54 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 54 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 60% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 54 flights

    Find Southwest 2690 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Southwest 3776

    8:05 PM → 11:00 PM2h 55m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-05.

    63%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    53%
    Cancelled
    5.6%
    Avg arrival delay
    28 min
    • Arrived on time 53% of the time (17 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • 77% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (17 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 17 flights

    Find Southwest 3776 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • JetBlue75%

    165 flights · 77% on time as flown · 0.3% cancel

  • Southwest Airlines71%

    353 flights · 71% on time as flown · 0.8% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM93%

    75 flights · avg delay 3 min

  • 9 AM to noon81%

    126 flights · avg delay 10 min

  • Noon to 3 PM72%

    150 flights · avg delay 27 min

  • 3 to 6 PM51%

    43 flights · avg delay 34 min

  • 6 to 9 PM63%

    111 flights · avg delay 28 min

Best day: Tuesday (81%). Worst: Friday (72%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
74
F
84
M
70
A
79
M
62
J
77
J
70
A
79
S
88
O
81
N
78
D
76

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft58%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)19%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume15%
  • Severe weather8%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

TPA to PVD questions

What time of day is best to fly TPA to PVD?
Before 9 AM: 93% of flights arrived on time, against 51% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from TPA to PVD?
JetBlue, with a season-adjusted 75% chance of operating and arriving on time over 165 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on TPA to PVD?
May (62% on time); the best was September (88%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from TPA

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops