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Route on-time record

TPA to LAX: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Tampa (Tampa International Airport) to Los Angeles (Los Angeles International Airport). 1,194 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 83% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.8% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was United 1979 at 12:20 PM.

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TPA → LAX

Tampa to Los Angeles: 1,194 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

83%

Cancelled

0.8%

avg delay 10 min

Best time to leave

Noon to 3 PM

91% on time vs 75% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

United

88% chance on time

Check TPA to LAX fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $210 (Southwest 3253 on 2026-11-13). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · United 1979

    12:20 PM → 2:50 PM5h 30m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    88%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    81%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    18 min
    • Arrived on time 81% of the time (21 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Noon to 3 PM: 91% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 75%).
    • Departs inside TPA's trouble window: 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Limited track record · 21 flights

    Find United 1979 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  2. #2 · Delta 538

    7:00 AM → 9:39 AM5h 25m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    86%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    87%
    Cancelled
    1.6%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 87% of the time (358 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 358 flights

    Find Delta 538 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  3. #3 · Delta 749

    7:16 PM → 9:44 PM5h 28m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    72%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    72%
    Cancelled
    0.8%
    Avg arrival delay
    17 min
    • Arrived on time 72% of the time (242 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 75% on time; Noon to 3 PM: 91%).
    • Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside LAX's trouble window: 53% of its 15 ground stops and delay programs started between 4 PM and 10 PM.

    Strong track record · 242 flights

    Find Delta 749 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  4. #4 · Southwest 383

    8:55 AM → 11:15 AM5h 20m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    69%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    65%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    14 min
    • Arrived on time 65% of the time (54 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 54 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 54 flights

    Find Southwest 383 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • United Airlines88%

    420 flights · 89% on time as flown · 0.4% cancel

  • Delta Air Lines81%

    661 flights · 82% on time as flown · 1.3% cancel

  • Southwest Airlines75%

    113 flights · 72% on time as flown · 0.5% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM87%

    632 flights · avg delay 8 min

  • 9 AM to noon84%

    90 flights · avg delay 6 min

  • Noon to 3 PM91%

    144 flights · avg delay 9 min

  • 6 to 9 PM75%

    300 flights · avg delay 15 min

Best day: Tuesday (87%). Worst: Sunday (77%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
81
F
89
M
82
A
84
M
82
J
78
J
75
A
86
S
85
O
86
N
88
D
80

What delays this route

  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)38%
  • Late-arriving aircraft37%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume20%
  • Severe weather5%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from TPA to LAX…

TPA to LAX questions

What time of day is best to fly TPA to LAX?
Noon to 3 PM: 91% of flights arrived on time, against 75% for departures 6 to 9 PM.
Which airline is most on time from TPA to LAX?
United, with a season-adjusted 88% chance of operating and arriving on time over 420 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on TPA to LAX?
July (75% on time); the best was February (89%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

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Live status: FAA delays and ground stops