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Route on-time record

TPA to DCA: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Tampa (Tampa International Airport) to Washington (Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport). 2,247 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 74% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.4% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was American 3305 at 7:00 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

TPA → DCA

Tampa to Washington: 2,247 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

74%

Cancelled

2.4%

avg delay 21 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

94% on time vs 54% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Southwest

74% chance on time

Check TPA to DCA fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $123 (Southwest 3242 on 2026-11-18). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · American 3305

    7:00 AM → 9:26 AM2h 26m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as American 2010; its record covers all of them.

    88%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    92%
    Cancelled
    3.2%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 92% of the time (182 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.2% of the time (6 of 188).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 94% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 54%).
    • Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 182 flights

    Find American 3305 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Southwest 4567

    10:00 AM → 12:20 PM2h 20m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    86%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    94%
    Cancelled
    3.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    4 min
    • Arrived on time 94% of the time (32 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.0% of the time (1 of 33).
    • Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (32 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 32 flights

    Find Southwest 4567 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · American 3036

    10:39 AM → 12:59 PM2h 20m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    86%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    95%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 95% of the time (44 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 44 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (44 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 44 flights

    Find American 3036 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Southwest 4551

    9:50 AM → 12:10 PM2h 20m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    84%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    89%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 89% of the time (54 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 54 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (54 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 54 flights

    Find Southwest 4551 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Republic 4765 · sold as American Eagle, Delta Connection or United Express

    5:40 PM → 8:10 PM2h 30m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-06.

    76%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    88%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 88% of the time (26 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside TPA's trouble window: 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
    • Short track record (26 flights), so its score leans on the route's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 26 flights

    Find 5:40 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · American 2775

    11:31 AM → 1:44 PM2h 13m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as American 513; its record covers all of them.

    72%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    73%
    Cancelled
    2.1%
    Avg arrival delay
    21 min
    • Arrived on time 73% of the time (188 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside TPA's trouble window (noon to 6 PM, when 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 61% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Moderate track record · 188 flights

    Find American 2775 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · American 3051

    1:32 PM → 3:58 PM2h 26m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20. Same departure also flew as American 2524; its record covers all of them.

    72%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    75%
    Cancelled
    1.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    32 min
    • Arrived on time 75% of the time (96 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside TPA's trouble window: 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
    • Lands inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 68% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Moderate track record · 96 flights

    Find American 3051 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · American 2837

    1:04 PM → 3:28 PM2h 24m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    71%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    82%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    10 min
    • Arrived on time 82% of the time (11 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside TPA's trouble window: 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
    • Lands inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 50% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 11 flights

    Find American 2837 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · Southwest 4552

    3:30 PM → 5:55 PM2h 25m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-29.

    71%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    77%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    13 min
    • Arrived on time 77% of the time (39 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 39 scheduled flights.
    • Departs inside TPA's trouble window: 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
    • Lands inside DCA's trouble window: 63% of its 194 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Limited track record · 39 flights

    Find Southwest 4552 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  10. #10 · American 1326

    5:46 PM → 8:11 PM2h 25m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-20.

    65%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    58%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    61 min
    • Arrived on time 58% of the time (12 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside TPA's trouble window: 76% of its 25 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
    • 53% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.
    • Short track record (12 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 12 flights

    Find American 1326 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Southwest Airlines74%

    700 flights · 76% on time as flown · 1.6% cancel

  • American Airlines71%

    1,521 flights · 73% on time as flown · 2.9% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM94%

    297 flights · avg delay 6 min

  • 9 AM to noon80%

    666 flights · avg delay 13 min

  • Noon to 3 PM72%

    639 flights · avg delay 22 min

  • 3 to 6 PM67%

    267 flights · avg delay 27 min

  • 6 to 9 PM54%

    378 flights · avg delay 41 min

Best day: Tuesday (81%). Worst: Sunday (70%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

  • SRQ → BWI 81% chance on time

    Sarasota Bradenton International Airport to Baltimore/Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport · 1,299 flights a year · 70 mi from your airports · yours: 72%

    Rank flightsFares

  • TPA → IAD 81% chance on time

    Tampa International Airport to Washington Dulles International Airport · 1,414 flights a year · 23 mi from your airports · yours: 72%

    Rank flightsFares

  • TPA → BWI 78% chance on time

    Tampa International Airport to Baltimore/Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport · 2,766 flights a year · 30 mi from your airports · yours: 72%

    Rank flightsFares

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
82
F
71
M
67
A
80
M
72
J
75
J
65
A
75
S
79
O
83
N
82
D
75

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft55%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)21%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume18%
  • Severe weather6%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

TPA to DCA questions

What time of day is best to fly TPA to DCA?
Before 9 AM: 94% of flights arrived on time, against 54% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from TPA to DCA?
Southwest, with a season-adjusted 74% chance of operating and arriving on time over 700 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on TPA to DCA?
July (65% on time); the best was October (83%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from TPA

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops